inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 80 Excitement2.5 [1253] MVPMatt Carroll (CHA): +10.7%
Denver Nuggets 120 Comeback1.0 [960] LVPStephen Jackson (CHA): -9.5%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Carroll0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.130.000.021170%0.1100.005100%0.01
Gerald Henderson0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.00-0.05845%0.051-0.01475%0.01
Kwame Brown0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.01475%0.0300.0000%0.00
DJ White0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.00-0.02643%0.0200.002100%-0.00
Dante Cunningham-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.0967%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Eduardo Najera-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01550%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.041046%0.053-0.05887%0.02
Shaun Livingston-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.001250%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Joel Przybilla-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.0410%-0.012-0.0220%-0.00
Boris Diaw-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01617%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.01-0.031035%-0.044-0.0500%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.01-0.023133%0.1110.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.120.010.044100%0.101-0.026100%0.02
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.01-0.041352%0.091-0.01580%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.01492%0.083-0.034100%0.01
Kenyon Martin0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02856%0.051-0.012100%0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.05882%0.032-0.001100%0.01
Nene0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02964%0.052-0.04450%-0.02
Ty Lawson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.100.010.101067%0.0100.001100%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02375%0.0010.002100%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01558%0.012-0.0120%-0.00
Gary Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.05540%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.82.527.114.532.62.423.6128.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +36.3%
DEN +2.3%
DEN +5.5%
DEN +2.9%
DEN +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHADENNBACHADENNBA
this game16.113.415.582.5121.2105.7
season16.214.3102.3110.7
opponent15.515.5106.1106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA16.215.815.516.816.1
DEN13.114.811.314.513.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dante Cunningham2323-0.00-0.500.490.46-16-24816.815.80.9414.513.01.52
Eduardo Najera3436-0.07-0.430.360.43-17-23616.316.00.3112.913.6-0.69
DJ White4142-0.08-0.420.330.53-21-19-216.715.61.0312.214.2-2.06
Shaun Livingston6062-0.17-0.330.150.38-19-21215.317.2-1.8713.413.20.22
Joel Przybilla3232-0.20-0.300.090.18-13-271416.116.00.0514.312.91.37
Gerald Henderson5354-0.23-0.270.040.39-21-19-215.516.7-1.2615.011.43.58
Kwame Brown3637-0.29-0.21-0.080.06-12-281616.116.00.0313.413.30.08
D.J. Augustin5150-0.34-0.16-0.180.25-20-20015.916.3-0.4213.413.30.05
Boris Diaw5151-0.35-0.15-0.210.15-17-23615.416.8-1.3714.012.61.37
Matt Carroll5556-0.37-0.13-0.250.27-22-18-416.615.41.2412.614.3-1.76
Stephen Jackson4952-0.38-0.12-0.260.27-22-18-416.815.31.5211.815.0-3.18

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wilson Chandler59590.490.010.48-0.2425151013.313.4-0.1616.515.31.18
Nene48480.440.060.38-0.3226141213.713.00.7317.314.82.48
Arron Afflalo45450.360.140.22-0.312317614.012.91.1017.315.02.33
Kenyon Martin56540.320.180.13-0.211822-412.614.3-1.7215.816.4-0.68
Ty Lawson57580.280.220.05-0.312020013.313.4-0.1315.317.2-1.95
Raymond Felton53500.230.27-0.04-0.331921-213.113.7-0.5615.416.7-1.28
Al Harrington30310.180.32-0.13-0.05832-2413.913.10.8316.116.10.00
J.R. Smith54520.140.36-0.23-0.391822-413.713.00.6915.716.4-0.67
Chris Andersen30280.050.45-0.410.05040-4012.513.7-1.2215.216.4-1.19
Timofey Mozgov21210.010.49-0.47-0.401426-1213.713.30.4614.316.5-2.21
Gary Forbes29270.000.50-0.49-0.441525-1012.613.7-1.1316.415.90.48
Kosta Koufos13120.000.50-0.50-0.411426-1215.213.12.1617.415.91.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 92, IND 1170.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
NYK 102, PHX 1130.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
NJN 87, DET 1060.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%