inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 113 Excitement7.9 [256] MVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): +48.5%
Toronto Raptors 118 Comeback2.2 [158] LVPJerryd Bayless (TOR): -11.7%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Rose0.480,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.6,0.480.060.39-0.032253%0.563-0.071687%0.14
Ronnie Brewer0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.030.00579%0.1200.00475%-0.01
CJ Watson0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.03-0.00375%0.0800.00250%-0.01
Luol Deng0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.02-0.011654%0.071-0.033100%0.02
Kurt Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Omer Asik0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00275%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Korver-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00275%0.032-0.0700%0.00
Joakim Noah-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.02-0.01744%0.013-0.05250%-0.01
Carlos Boozer-0.060,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.00-0.060.012050%-0.012-0.06875%-0.01
Taj Gibson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.01833%-0.031-0.052100%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.31,0.480.480.100.420.031757%0.4800.008100%0.16
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.230.230.160.090.028100%0.261-0.021100%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.090.14-0.00876%0.251-0.021100%0.01
Sonny Weems0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.080.02586%0.161-0.024100%0.02
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.02-0.00482%0.111-0.023100%0.02
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.00464%0.071-0.02683%0.03
Alexis Ajinca0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.00367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.011949%0.113-0.111191%0.06
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00560%0.054-0.1300%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.0010%-0.033-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.332.516.426.11.642.5146.0
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +42.2%
TOR +23.0%
CHI -13.8%
CHI -5.5%
TOR +4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHITORNBACHITORNBA
this game15.214.015.5115.3119.2105.7
season15.715.1106.5104.7
opponent15.515.9111.299.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI15.114.817.813.615.2
TOR13.112.016.515.214.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Taj Gibson34340.04-0.540.58-0.084-91314.115.8-1.7113.914.1-0.15
Keith Bogans2929-0.08-0.420.33-0.03-2-3117.214.42.8415.213.51.70
Omer Asik12-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-2-314.015.3-11.329.514.1-4.63
CJ Watson2021-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-2-114.415.4-0.9513.614.2-0.53
Luol Deng8687-0.20-0.300.10-0.324-91315.016.8-1.8614.113.80.24
Kurt Thomas4846-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-50-515.215.20.0513.514.5-1.05
Kyle Korver3840-0.25-0.250.01-0.10-50-514.415.7-1.2413.314.5-1.20
Joakim Noah4952-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.260-5515.215.20.0814.413.70.68
Derrick Rose7878-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.28-2-3115.414.40.9514.213.60.53
Ronnie Brewer4342-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.27-72-915.015.4-0.4113.814.2-0.36
Carlos Boozer6464-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.28-72-915.913.92.0714.413.40.95

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Calderon79780.74-0.240.970.2716-112714.313.01.2416.012.23.71
Andrea Bargnani87850.60-0.100.690.339-41314.014.7-0.7115.513.52.01
DeMar DeRozan67630.50-0.000.510.1811-61714.014.1-0.1215.614.41.21
Amir Johnson66660.360.140.210.2732115.111.93.2415.714.11.60
Sonny Weems38370.290.210.070.38-38-1113.514.4-0.8313.316.3-3.02
James Johnson54540.260.240.02-0.009-41313.015.3-2.2916.513.62.93
Ed Davis26280.050.45-0.410.0214-312.414.6-2.1914.515.5-0.94
Alexis Ajinca19170.000.50-0.500.09-38-1112.914.3-1.4212.915.7-2.74
Leandro Barbosa4244-0.020.52-0.540.21-813-2115.013.41.6314.016.2-2.14
Jerryd Bayless1718-0.270.77-1.040.02-1015-2515.213.81.3713.215.6-2.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.69,0.89,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.77,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 96, UTA 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.84,0.68,0.58,192.2%
DAL 120, SAC 1220.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.97,0.93,0.67,0.58,191.3%
CHH 89, LAC 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.74,191.1%