inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 120 Excitement7.7 [313] MVPArron Afflalo (DEN): +70.4%
Denver Nuggets 121 Comeback136.0 [14] LVPAl Harrington (DEN): -9.1%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Terry0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.310.140.16-0.011769%0.352-0.04250%-0.01
Jose Juan Barea0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.080.02-0.031168%0.202-0.073100%0.02
Tyson Chandler0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.120.000.03987%0.173-0.08580%0.01
Jason Kidd0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09-0.010.07-0.02950%0.091-0.012100%0.04
Ian Mahinmi0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.02-0.01267%0.0600.002100%0.01
Shawn Marion0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.01-0.001656%0.091-0.03250%-0.02
Brian Cardinal0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.021150%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01444%0.0100.0010%-0.02
Peja Stojakovic-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.040.05-0.080.011057%-0.0400.00875%-0.08

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.70.700.150.560.011667%0.7000.004100%0.01
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.46,0.460.460.270.210.012579%0.564-0.093100%0.02
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.070.070.16-0.080.011970%0.113-0.045100%0.03
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.00654%0.0500.0010%-0.01
Kenyon Martin0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01543%0.0100.00450%-0.02
Gary Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.000.01240%-0.0000.0010%-0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Nene0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.01835%-0.0600.00475%-0.11
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00333%-0.033-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.833.418.527.33.437.3146.1
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +45.1%
DAL -3.8%
DEN +4.4%
DEN +2.3%
DEN +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALDENNBADALDENNBA
this game16.014.515.5126.3128.7105.7
season15.714.3108.5110.7
opponent15.515.7106.1103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.614.517.216.716.0
DEN13.216.814.713.314.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Cardinal32340.71-1.211.910.1818-193715.216.4-1.2914.014.7-0.67
Jose Juan Barea51490.41-0.911.32-0.0315-163116.715.21.5915.313.51.77
Ian Mahinmi13140.19-0.690.880.103-4717.215.81.3213.314.7-1.38
Brendan Haywood19190.00-0.500.50-0.093-4716.415.90.4515.214.30.94
Peja Stojakovic1919-0.17-0.330.160.09-98-1716.116.00.1213.714.6-0.90
DeShawn Stevenson1919-0.23-0.270.030.15-1312-2515.616.1-0.5413.714.6-0.90
Jason Terry6465-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.5911-122315.117.8-2.7114.414.7-0.29
Tyson Chandler6361-0.690.19-0.88-0.49-76-1315.716.7-1.0214.514.40.10
Shawn Marion5552-0.720.22-0.94-0.66-21-316.814.91.9614.414.5-0.12
Jason Kidd6969-0.830.33-1.16-0.45-1312-2515.716.9-1.2014.115.3-1.18
Dirk Nowitzki7169-0.890.39-1.29-0.57-1110-2116.414.71.6914.913.21.66

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nene53540.82-0.321.140.5011-102114.015.0-0.9616.415.50.83
Chauncey Billups78790.70-0.200.890.468-71514.315.3-1.0315.717.4-1.64
Ty Lawson50490.53-0.030.570.68-56-1114.714.20.4315.716.3-0.61
Arron Afflalo67690.53-0.030.550.443-2514.314.9-0.6116.016.1-0.09
Chris Andersen17190.250.25-0.000.047-61314.414.5-0.0618.215.52.75
Carmelo Anthony84840.130.37-0.25-0.056-51114.216.4-2.1716.115.01.14
Al Harrington37370.050.45-0.390.46-1415-2914.914.10.8115.716.2-0.55
Gary Forbes44-0.050.55-0.61-0.02-12-312.214.6-2.3118.015.92.08
Kenyon Martin5554-0.060.56-0.63-0.184-3714.714.10.6115.916.1-0.15
J.R. Smith2526-0.390.89-1.280.02-1415-2915.814.01.8815.016.4-1.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 115, CLE 1190.5,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.23,0.42,190.5%
NOH 85, LAL 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.06,0.15,190.3%
MIA 93, POR 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.26,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.08,189.2%