NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	6.2 [583]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +12.6%
Boston Celtics	86		Comeback	5.4 [159]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): -25.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	17	57%	0.22	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	13	62%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Lamar Odom	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.04	0.07	-0.05	12	38%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	80%	0.13	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.08	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	6	31%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	63%	0.09	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.04
Avery Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	15	47%	0.06	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.06	0.02	18	54%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	14	39%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.11	-0.14	0.01	13	36%	-0.14	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	3.5	33.5	20.7	31.2	2.5	31.3	150.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +57.0%

LAL +6.4%

BOS -3.3%

BOS -7.1%

BOS -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.5	17.0	15.5	105.7	101.2	105.7
season	15.9	15.7		108.8	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.5		99.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	15.1	16.3	19.2	16.5
BOS	17.8	15.6	18.0	16.8	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	68	66	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.25	13	-7	20	16.7	15.6	1.10	16.9	17.5	-0.61
Kobe Bryant	69	67	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-6	18	16.0	18.3	-2.25	17.3	15.8	1.48
Derek Fisher	55	52	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-7	20	17.3	15.0	2.31	17.6	16.0	1.59
Metta World Peace	70	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	4	-2	17.1	14.0	3.10	17.3	15.6	1.77
Andrew Bynum	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	-3	12	17.0	15.3	1.68	17.2	16.5	0.74
Lamar Odom	45	43	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.39	-8	14	-22	15.8	17.3	-1.48	16.8	17.2	-0.47
Shannon Brown	43	43	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	7	-8	14.7	18.3	-3.60	16.4	17.6	-1.27
Luke Walton	4	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	7	-8	18.7	16.4	2.36	14.0	17.1	-3.15
Steve Blake	21	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.11	-9	15	-24	16.3	16.5	-0.21	15.5	17.5	-1.96

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	7	8	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-11	16	13.7	17.3	-3.58	17.9	16.4	1.52
Avery Bradley	4	3	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-5	4	10.7	17.3	-6.56	11.3	16.7	-5.35
Von Wafer	36	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-2	-2	16.7	17.2	-0.48	14.6	17.9	-3.31
Kendrick Perkins	56	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	1	-8	17.2	16.6	0.63	15.6	18.3	-2.72
Ray Allen	61	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-2	-2	17.4	15.9	1.57	16.9	15.5	1.43
Glen Davis	56	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-7	8	16.5	17.9	-1.41	16.1	17.2	-1.13
Kevin Garnett	57	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.16	-8	2	-10	17.2	16.7	0.48	18.1	13.4	4.67
Paul Pierce	70	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-5	4	17.2	16.1	1.13	17.1	13.6	3.52
Rajon Rondo	78	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	5	-16	17.3	13.7	3.58	16.4	17.9	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.14,0.03,0.05,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, VAN 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.22,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.05,0,0.01,0	91.9%
HOU 119, BKN 111	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.04,0.02,0,0	91.6%
ORL 98, IND 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	91.5%