NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	8.5 [170]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +19.1%
Utah Jazz	86		Comeback	1.4 [608]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -41.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.02	0.14	-0.00	3	83%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.11,0.06,0,0.09,0,0.13	0.05	0.11	0.03	26	51%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.07
Kurt Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.06	0.01	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	7	29%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.03	3	87%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Omer Asik	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	16	41%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	12	33%	-0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.11	0.00	19	60%	0.24	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.09
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	5	40%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	73%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.05	0.01	14	38%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.10
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	17	54%	0.07	3	-0.14	3	67%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.14,-0.41	-0.41	-0.13	-0.30	-0.02	13	39%	0.07	5	-0.48	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	26.8	15.7	30.5	1.5	33.4	134.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -39.2%

CHI +19.2%

CHI +50.7%

CHI +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	UTA	NBA	CHI	UTA	NBA
this game	17.4	14.2	15.5	100.0	94.5	105.7
season	15.7	15.9		106.5	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.9		108.2	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.1	14.7	18.7	19.5	17.4
UTA	14.2	14.7	14.0	13.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	4	-3	17.8	15.6	2.19	13.7	16.5	-2.84
Luol Deng	77	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	4	-3	17.8	15.3	2.53	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Omer Asik	27	25	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-4	13	18.0	17.2	0.87	16.6	13.3	3.34
Taj Gibson	27	26	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	-2	9	16.4	17.9	-1.45	16.3	13.4	2.87
Ronnie Brewer	36	35	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	0	5	15.5	18.7	-3.24	15.0	13.7	1.22
Kyle Korver	35	36	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	2	1	17.5	17.4	0.19	13.6	14.7	-1.10
Carlos Boozer	63	65	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	7	-9	18.1	15.8	2.32	13.4	16.3	-2.87
Kurt Thomas	64	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	9	-13	17.2	18.0	-0.87	13.3	16.6	-3.34
CJ Watson	20	20	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	2	1	15.9	17.9	-1.96	16.6	13.5	3.11
Keith Bogans	32	32	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	3	-1	18.0	17.1	0.93	14.3	14.2	0.09

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	17	19	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.04	2	-7	9	17.5	13.5	4.07	18.7	17.1	1.59
Ronnie Price	8	8	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-6	7	17.0	14.0	3.05	17.9	17.4	0.49
Kyrylo Fesenko	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-7	9	14.9	14.1	0.82	17.4	17.4	-0.08
CJ Miles	28	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-5	5	16.2	13.3	2.88	18.5	16.9	1.55
Gordon Hayward	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	1	-7	17.5	13.9	3.60	15.4	17.6	-2.25
Paul Millsap	73	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-6	7	13.3	17.8	-4.50	16.9	19.4	-2.51
Deron Williams	78	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-2	-1	13.4	18.9	-5.49	17.5	17.1	0.34
Al Jefferson	78	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	2	-9	14.1	14.9	-0.82	17.7	16.2	1.47
Raja Bell	71	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	13.6	16.4	-2.79	17.2	18.1	-0.93
Andrei Kirilenko	81	80	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.29	-11	6	-17	14.3	13.3	1.03	17.3	18.5	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 115, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.29,0.14,0,0	92.4%
DAL 110, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.32,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.24,0.02,0	92.3%
TOR 99, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.26,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.27,0	91.8%