inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 113 Excitement6.6 [506] MVPArron Afflalo (DEN): +27.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves 100 Comeback1.6 [859] LVPAnthony Carter (DEN): -15.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0.270,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.210.070.011188%0.2700.00367%-0.01
Chauncey Billups0.160,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.160.200.020.06991%0.1600.005100%0.01
J.R. Smith0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.160.060.110.011161%0.201-0.041100%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0.120,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.010.001374%0.193-0.07862%-0.05
Chris Andersen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Nene0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.020.011152%0.052-0.0410%-0.02
Kenyon Martin-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01839%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Al Harrington-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.001136%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Shelden Williams-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.030.0010%-0.023-0.0900%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.11-0.05-0.0030%-0.063-0.0900%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.120.010.001071%0.1300.001100%0.01
Lazar Hayward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.05-0.01437%0.0500.0000%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.00325%-0.0100.002100%0.02
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.01956%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Jonny Flynn0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.021342%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Love0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.05-0.001451%0.052-0.08786%0.02
Michael Beasley0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.040.002044%-0.0500.001267%-0.01
Nikola Pekovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00217%-0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Wesley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.08-0.021145%-0.021-0.0500%0.00
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00935%-0.041-0.04250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.527.814.829.41.733.0134.2
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +74.9%
MIN -5.3%
MIN -8.1%
MIN -14.7%
DEN +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMINNBADENMINNBA
this game14.214.915.5114.1101.0105.7
season14.314.3110.7102.7
opponent15.115.5109.5106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.412.914.614.014.2
MIN13.415.315.415.514.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nene65660.63-0.130.770.0819-62513.715.1-1.4415.314.11.20
Arron Afflalo78780.62-0.120.750.1317-42113.915.4-1.5014.914.70.22
Chauncey Billups72740.380.120.260.06112914.513.41.1414.017.4-3.36
Carmelo Anthony78770.340.160.170.04103714.413.60.8014.616.0-1.37
J.R. Smith56570.230.27-0.050.0567-114.314.10.1514.615.3-0.69
Al Harrington50480.180.32-0.130.13211-914.414.00.4415.514.41.11
Kenyon Martin46470.160.34-0.180.0449-514.314.10.1914.914.80.09
Anthony Carter27250.120.38-0.260.06211-913.414.5-1.1417.414.03.36
Chris Andersen12130.060.44-0.380.00211-916.213.92.2414.215.0-0.85
Shelden Williams1110-0.230.73-0.960.00-821-2914.314.20.0813.915.0-1.10

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Tolliver25250.12-0.620.730.062-151716.214.41.8115.113.91.17
Nikola Pekovic19180.06-0.560.610.09-1-121116.214.61.6414.314.20.16
Lazar Hayward16160.01-0.510.520.07-2-11917.114.52.6715.214.01.18
Sebastian Telfair3233-0.03-0.470.45-0.061-141516.014.41.6014.614.00.61
Wesley Johnson4746-0.18-0.320.14-0.03-5-8314.914.90.0114.014.4-0.34
Corey Brewer5456-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-10-3-714.615.2-0.5714.214.20.03
Jonny Flynn6766-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.06-141-1514.416.0-1.6014.014.6-0.61
Michael Beasley8383-0.510.01-0.52-0.19-11-2-914.517.1-2.6714.015.2-1.18
Darko Milicic7877-0.550.05-0.61-0.26-10-3-714.715.4-0.6814.214.3-0.09
Kevin Love7475-0.620.12-0.74-0.18-152-1714.416.2-1.8114.014.8-0.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.19,0.27,0.1,0.15,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 98, WAS 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.02,093.7%
IND 101, BOS 930.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.24,0.34,0.15,0.02,0.01,0,092.9%
SEA 101, CHI 970.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.46,0.41,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.03,0,092.8%