NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Excitement	5.8 [675]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +18.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	112		Comeback	4.4 [794]		LVP	Manny Harris (CLE): -17.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.04	21	60%	0.14	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Anthony Parker	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.03	0.05	7	95%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Christian Eyenga	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.06	13	67%	0.06	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Jamario Moon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.15	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	22	40%	-0.03	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Manny Harris	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.01	13	66%	0.23	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Sam Young	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.03	0.00	10	76%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	20	51%	0.08	2	-0.04	11	82%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.04	19	67%	0.18	6	-0.17	5	100%	0.03
Hamed Haddadi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	33.4	15.5	26.3	2.4	31.5	136.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +20.8%

MEM +11.5%

MEM +6.2%

MEM +8.6%

MEM +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	13.9	15.4	15.5	105.0	115.5	105.7
season	15.1	15.5		100.8	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.7	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.3	15.1	15.4	13.0	13.9
MEM	15.5	14.9	13.4	17.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	31	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-12	17	13.1	14.2	-1.10	14.3	15.9	-1.64
Manny Harris	40	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.12	-10	3	-13	15.2	13.0	2.27	14.6	15.8	-1.25
Antawn Jamison	89	86	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-7	7	13.6	16.0	-2.37	15.5	14.3	1.24
Anthony Parker	61	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-12	17	12.7	15.8	-3.12	15.0	16.0	-1.06
Ramon Sessions	85	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-4	1	13.4	16.7	-3.27	15.7	13.6	2.02
Jamario Moon	41	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-4	1	13.8	13.9	-0.10	16.7	14.4	2.30
Christian Eyenga	73	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.16	-10	3	-13	14.8	11.5	3.25	15.0	16.4	-1.39
JJ Hickson	80	77	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.14	-19	12	-31	14.5	11.5	2.93	15.7	14.2	1.41

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	91	95	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-5	17	15.3	16.0	-0.67	13.7	17.8	-4.12
Zach Randolph	90	91	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	1	5	15.5	14.3	1.17	13.8	14.4	-0.61
Greivis Vasquez	23	23	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	0	7	13.9	15.8	-1.91	14.7	13.6	1.05
Darrell Arthur	36	35	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	3	1	13.7	16.4	-2.67	12.7	14.5	-1.76
Marc Gasol	45	49	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	1	5	16.5	14.4	2.17	14.2	13.6	0.66
Mike Conley	75	78	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.20	1	6	-5	15.7	14.4	1.30	13.7	14.6	-0.96
Tony Allen	35	34	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.25	-1	8	-9	15.2	15.5	-0.22	13.4	14.1	-0.68
Sam Young	65	70	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	2	3	15.5	15.1	0.41	14.3	12.8	1.51
Hamed Haddadi	12	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	6	-5	16.7	15.2	1.48	14.7	13.8	0.98
Hasheem Thabeet	11	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	14.0	15.5	-1.55	15.4	13.7	1.73
Xavier Henry	2	1	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	11	-15	21.0	15.3	5.75	15.0	13.9	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.41,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.74,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 109, DEN 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	93.3%
HOU 96, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.95,1,1,1	93.1%
DET 87, OKC 103	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.7%