NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	5.1 [822]		MVP	Marreese Speights (PHI): +16.8%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	2.3 [692]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -17.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.02	-0.01	12	85%	0.25	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.06	-0.03	10	75%	0.19	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	11	68%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	10	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	7	19%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	16	42%	-0.04	5	-0.13	4	75%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.02	18	60%	0.15	1	-0.00	12	92%	0.04
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	10	71%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.04	10	68%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	4	37%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	40%	-0.06	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	11	36%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	30.3	15.6	24.3	2.3	28.6	128.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +31.5%

PHI +0.0%

PHI +23.9%

TOR -5.0%

TOR -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	16.3	14.8	15.5	116.3	101.1	105.7
season	15.5	15.1		104.6	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		111.2	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.2	15.0	15.7	18.7	16.3
TOR	16.5	14.4	13.7	14.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	71	71	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.00	18	-5	23	15.9	17.7	-1.83	14.8	14.9	-0.09
Marreese Speights	34	33	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	-2	17	16.0	16.5	-0.44	15.6	14.4	1.24
Andre Iguodala	75	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	8	-3	16.4	16.0	0.37	14.3	17.3	-3.00
Thaddeus Young	51	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	-1	15	16.2	16.4	-0.24	15.3	14.3	0.99
Evan Turner	45	44	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	5	3	17.4	15.3	2.06	15.7	14.0	1.73
Jodie Meeks	40	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	6	1	16.0	16.5	-0.45	13.8	15.7	-1.86
Lou Williams	46	47	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.11	1	12	-11	16.2	16.4	-0.22	15.5	14.1	1.40
Elton Brand	59	61	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	13	-13	16.4	16.1	0.38	14.4	15.7	-1.34
Spencer Hawes	39	41	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	16	-19	16.3	16.3	-0.04	14.7	15.0	-0.32

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	14	11	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-12	11	11.7	15.4	-3.68	15.4	16.4	-1.07
Julian Wright	51	51	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-16	19	14.5	15.2	-0.68	16.1	16.6	-0.46
Jerryd Bayless	27	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-2	-9	15.9	14.4	1.48	15.0	16.9	-1.90
Trey Johnson	23	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-1	-11	17.0	14.1	2.81	15.9	16.4	-0.52
DeMar DeRozan	76	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-13	13	14.3	17.2	-2.86	17.3	12.3	4.94
Andrea Bargnani	73	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-9	5	14.9	14.5	0.37	16.4	15.8	0.59
Amir Johnson	67	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-6	-1	14.2	16.4	-2.20	17.1	14.5	2.58
Jose Calderon	74	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-8	3	14.5	16.3	-1.79	16.5	15.4	1.14
Sonny Weems	28	28	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	1	-15	15.0	14.8	0.28	15.1	16.8	-1.67
Ed Davis	32	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	1	-15	17.3	13.5	3.77	14.9	17.1	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.31,0.16,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, LAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%
CHH 98, DET 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.3%
SAS 89, LAC 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%