inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 93 Excitement11.1 [23] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +32.7%
Miami Heat 89 Comeback11.8 [78] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -23.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Maurice Evans0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.040.23-0.01955%0.2800.002100%0.05
Jamal Crawford0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.24,0.240.020.21-0.001559%0.393-0.14250%-0.03
Josh Smith0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.16-0.070.22-0.011838%0.252-0.093100%0.07
Mike Bibby0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.01-0.001162%0.1000.00250%-0.04
Jason Collins0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Damien Wilkins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Josh Powell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00631%-0.0200.0010%-0.01
Jordan Crawford-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Al Horford-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00837%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.120,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.12-0.140.030.022437%0.103-0.22475%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.18,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.35,0,0,-0.04,0.12,0.22,0.330.33-0.060.38-0.013048%0.606-0.271191%0.12
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.080.080.040.040.00860%0.121-0.044100%0.03
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.010.00862%0.051-0.0200%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.00350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.000.01250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.06-0.170.012052%0.106-0.341292%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.40.831.316.524.01.636.42.417.6155.0
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +49.4%
MIA -27.5%
ATL +4.9%
ATL +17.6%
ATL +5.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game16.116.515.593.992.7105.7
season16.516.0104.0109.0
opponent15.615.5102.3105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ATL14.118.316.016.315.716.1
MIA18.914.416.018.812.716.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Crawford59570.74-0.240.980.3314-102415.317.2-1.8917.315.41.96
Josh Smith84810.73-0.230.960.2915-112615.718.1-2.4016.516.7-0.17
Joe Johnson84820.70-0.200.900.449-51416.215.50.6716.317.6-1.23
Maurice Evans63630.55-0.050.600.67-48-1215.916.4-0.5014.720.0-5.30
Zaza Pachulia42420.140.36-0.22-0.015-1616.415.90.4416.616.50.09
Jason Collins26250.080.42-0.35-0.0440415.616.3-0.6617.716.11.62
Mike Bibby67670.060.44-0.370.33-913-2216.714.72.0016.117.5-1.43
Al Horford4037-0.020.52-0.53-0.0204-416.515.80.6316.116.8-0.63
Josh Powell75-0.040.54-0.590.07-48-1214.916.2-1.3420.616.34.30
Jordan Crawford32-0.180.68-0.86-0.12-26-817.016.10.9336.516.120.40
Damien Wilkins2019-0.260.76-1.01-0.02-812-2017.515.71.7518.516.02.43

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade72720.19-0.690.880.055-91417.114.92.1416.714.42.33
Juwan Howard17160.06-0.560.620.12-2-2017.016.40.5817.615.81.74
Erick Dampier89-0.03-0.470.45-0.061-5619.016.32.7013.416.4-2.92
Joel Anthony7879-0.07-0.430.35-0.101-5616.417.1-0.6616.913.03.89
Carlos Arroyo1416-0.11-0.390.270.03-51-620.115.94.1613.916.5-2.58
Mario Chalmers7373-0.15-0.350.19-0.336-101615.719.0-3.2617.013.53.48
James Jones3538-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.13-51-615.717.0-1.3615.016.8-1.83
Eddie House5253-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.548-122015.717.5-1.8516.415.70.68
Mike Miller1819-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.04-106-1617.616.31.3413.016.8-3.84
Zydrunas Ilgauskas2224-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-106-1619.115.73.3914.716.6-1.89
LeBron James8185-0.610.11-0.71-0.46-51-616.317.5-1.1215.917.2-1.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.72,0.9,0.79,0.57,0.09,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 105, DAL 1010.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.43,0.17,0.46,0.25,0.16,0.22,0.42,088.9%
TOR 101, IND 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.23,0.26,0.46,0.32,0.45,0.23,0.02,088.4%
SEA 119, SAC 1120.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.3,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.81,0.54,0.15,0.04,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.16,0.05,088.3%