NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	112		Excitement	7.0 [416]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +26.9%
Golden State Warriors	122		Comeback	1.6 [780]		LVP	Ryan Gomes (LAC): -14.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.27	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.10	0.14	-0.02	18	68%	0.37	4	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Ike Diogu	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.00	8	76%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.03	0.05	20	61%	0.14	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	5	69%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Randy Foye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	15	47%	0.00	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.09	0.17	0.00	5	93%	0.29	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.19	0.06	0.02	17	71%	0.26	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.10	-0.03	9	73%	0.25	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	17	54%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.02	0.06	15	68%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	52%	0.06	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	33.4	15.7	25.1	2.4	34.3	139.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +38.7%

GSW +1.1%

LAC -11.3%

GSW +19.9%

GSW +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	15.5	113.1	120.8	105.7
season	15.4	14.8		104.4	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.3		109.0	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.8	14.3	13.2	15.2	14.1
GSW	13.3	12.9	15.6	17.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	25	26	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.00	12	-22	34	15.1	13.8	1.30	16.1	14.2	1.88
Eric Bledsoe	37	39	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-14	18	14.9	13.6	1.29	15.6	14.1	1.44
Jarron Collins	4	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-9	8	17.0	14.0	3.01	13.7	14.7	-0.97
Al-Farouq Aminu	44	45	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-6	2	13.4	14.7	-1.26	13.6	15.5	-1.91
Eric Gordon	84	86	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-11	12	13.6	17.1	-3.48	14.8	13.9	0.88
Randy Foye	19	18	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-1	-8	17.1	13.4	3.71	13.8	14.9	-1.10
DeAndre Jordan	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-4	-2	14.9	13.0	1.89	15.8	13.1	2.69
Baron Davis	58	59	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	6	-22	13.4	15.1	-1.77	14.2	15.4	-1.19
Ryan Gomes	85	86	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.26	-14	4	-18	13.8	15.8	-1.95	14.4	16.3	-1.86
Blake Griffin	82	84	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.25	-17	7	-24	13.8	15.7	-1.93	14.4	16.3	-1.94

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	44	43	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.25	19	-9	28	13.9	15.3	-1.33	14.4	13.9	0.54
Reggie Williams	60	58	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.22	17	-7	24	15.1	14.0	1.07	14.9	13.0	1.94
David Lee	93	91	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.26	7	3	4	14.7	14.4	0.33	13.7	18.5	-4.77
Dorell Wright	82	80	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	4	2	14.5	15.3	-0.78	13.6	16.1	-2.40
Monta Ellis	67	66	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	7	-4	14.6	14.9	-0.39	14.0	14.3	-0.29
Stephen Curry	59	60	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.08	9	1	8	13.7	16.1	-2.46	13.6	14.9	-1.38
Lou Amundson	12	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	6	-2	13.2	14.9	-1.72	14.7	14.0	0.66
Ekpe Udoh	8	8	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	7	-4	14.4	14.7	-0.33	18.5	13.7	4.77
Acie Law	30	28	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.07	-8	18	-26	16.5	13.9	2.63	14.7	13.9	0.79
Andris Biedrins	50	51	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.02	-10	20	-30	15.7	13.7	2.01	14.0	14.2	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.53,0.69,0.8,0.69,0.61,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 98, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.72,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.99,1	92.3%
MIL 90, MEM 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.9,0.91,0.99,1	92.1%
UTA 95, NOP 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.53,0.89,0.91,0.95,1	92.0%