NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	5.9 [644]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +25.8%
Toronto Raptors	79		Comeback	1.6 [862]		LVP	Leandro Barbosa (TOR): -22.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.24	0.05	0.04	15	79%	0.29	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Ray Allen	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	18	64%	0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	3	64%	0.09	1	0.00	5	20%	-0.05
Luke Harangody	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.03	0.03	14	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Marquis Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	5	-0.14	2	0%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.09
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.04	-0.06	25	47%	0.05	5	-0.09	8	62%	-0.04
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	12	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	11	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.04	14	20%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.07	-0.01	12	30%	-0.07	5	-0.16	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.5	30.4	16.3	22.5	2.3	31.4	132.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +74.3%

BOS +6.3%

TOR -26.0%

TOR -5.0%

BOS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.5	104.5	86.8	105.7
season	15.7	15.1		104.8	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.8		111.2	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.9	17.5	16.9	16.7	16.5
TOR	15.8	14.5	16.6	15.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	60	63	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.06	24	-10	34	16.5	16.3	0.19	16.2	14.1	2.02
Paul Pierce	65	69	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.04	18	-4	22	16.2	17.3	-1.18	16.0	14.0	2.09
Glen Davis	72	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.00	16	-2	18	16.7	15.3	1.46	15.8	14.4	1.36
Ray Allen	66	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	3	8	15.8	18.5	-2.71	15.1	16.9	-1.81
Shaquille O'Neal	44	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	1	12	16.2	16.7	-0.44	16.1	15.0	1.18
Jermaine O'Neal	45	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	13	-12	16.7	16.2	0.44	15.0	16.1	-1.18
Von Wafer	26	25	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	11	-8	16.8	16.3	0.47	15.2	15.7	-0.47
Luke Harangody	17	18	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	16	-18	15.3	16.7	-1.46	14.4	15.8	-1.36
Marquis Daniels	21	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	18	-22	19.2	15.6	3.62	15.7	15.5	0.25
Nate Robinson	29	28	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.15	-10	24	-34	16.3	16.5	-0.19	14.1	16.2	-2.02

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Dupree	1	0	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-14	14	19.0	15.5	3.50	0.0	16.5	-16.47
Ed Davis	41	39	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-17	20	15.4	15.6	-0.23	17.5	15.7	1.76
Julian Wright	13	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-11	8	15.4	15.6	-0.18	17.3	16.3	0.98
Leandro Barbosa	55	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-8	2	14.9	16.6	-1.68	17.3	15.2	2.05
Linas Kleiza	60	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-8	2	15.9	14.8	1.11	16.6	16.1	0.48
Jose Calderon	67	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	15.8	14.8	0.96	15.9	17.9	-2.01
Amir Johnson	71	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	-1	-12	15.4	16.0	-0.66	16.3	17.3	-1.08
Joey Dorsey	70	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	2	-18	15.8	14.8	0.95	16.2	17.2	-1.00
DeMar DeRozan	77	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	3	-20	15.5	15.9	-0.38	16.0	19.1	-3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.17,0.07,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 109, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%
TOR 99, PHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.1%
CLE 109, PHX 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%