NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	5.3 [789]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +22.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	103		Comeback	1.2 [1046]		LVP	Jason Collins (ATL): -7.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.01	0.04	15	67%	0.14	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	12	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jeff Teague	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	20	36%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	14	72%	0.13	7	-0.19	4	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.05	-0.00	22	66%	0.28	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	6	107%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	22	47%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	30.6	16.4	24.2	1.8	27.2	130.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +43.5%

OKC +1.5%

ATL -1.3%

OKC +8.0%

ATL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	OKC	NBA	ATL	OKC	NBA
this game	15.5	14.9	15.5	100.0	108.4	105.7
season	16.5	15.0		104.0	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.4	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.7	13.5	16.0	16.4	15.5
OKC	13.3	13.1	17.5	16.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	8	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-4	-1	16.6	15.4	1.18	10.5	15.5	-4.96
Mike Bibby	50	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-10	11	15.3	15.8	-0.43	15.9	13.8	2.08
Jason Collins	45	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-8	7	15.3	15.7	-0.40	14.8	15.1	-0.31
Al Horford	61	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-5	1	15.9	14.8	1.07	16.2	12.4	3.77
Damien Wilkins	31	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-7	5	14.6	16.0	-1.44	14.7	15.1	-0.39
Joe Johnson	77	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-7	5	15.2	16.9	-1.64	15.4	12.7	2.72
Maurice Evans	22	21	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	1	-11	18.0	14.8	3.21	13.3	15.4	-2.12
Zaza Pachulia	30	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-1	-7	16.3	15.2	1.11	13.5	15.6	-2.10
Jamal Crawford	70	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-4	-1	15.9	14.6	1.23	15.2	14.2	0.95
Josh Smith	76	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	0	-9	14.8	18.8	-4.00	14.3	17.7	-3.37

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	61	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.26	5	4	1	14.4	15.8	-1.38	15.9	15.0	0.90
Jeff Green	37	38	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-4	17	14.2	15.4	-1.22	16.9	14.6	2.27
Kevin Durant	82	82	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	2	5	15.1	14.1	1.00	15.5	15.7	-0.14
Nick Collison	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	5	-1	14.2	15.8	-1.61	15.0	16.2	-1.16
Russell Westbrook	73	73	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	1	7	15.1	14.3	0.86	15.1	17.2	-2.18
Serge Ibaka	59	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	10	-11	15.7	13.6	2.13	15.9	14.9	0.97
Thabo Sefolosha	40	38	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	3	3	15.4	14.6	0.80	15.1	15.8	-0.73
Eric Maynor	22	21	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	8	-7	14.3	15.1	-0.86	17.2	15.1	2.18
Nenad Krstic	48	47	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	7	-5	15.3	14.6	0.76	14.5	16.6	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.81,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 70, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.77,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%
PHI 101, POR 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
NOH 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%