NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	4.0 [1061]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): +22.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	101		Comeback	1.1 [954]		LVP	Anthony Parker (CLE): -5.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.03	0.04	13	59%	0.08	1	-0.01	11	91%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	16	51%	0.06	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Manny Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.04	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	11	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.24	0.02	0.03	14	90%	0.23	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.04	-0.00	24	60%	0.22	2	-0.04	15	87%	0.02
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	53%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	41%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	12%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	11	37%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	30.2	15.5	23.4	2.6	38.6	137.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +40.9%

CLE -11.0%

CHA +7.1%

CHA +10.5%

CHA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	15.4	16.9	15.5	101.1	114.8	105.7
season	15.1	16.2		100.8	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		106.5	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.4	14.1	16.9	14.3	15.4
CHA	14.9	14.7	20.2	18.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	54	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.34	6	-15	21	13.7	17.7	-4.01	17.5	15.9	1.61
JJ Hickson	42	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-5	1	15.0	15.7	-0.74	17.9	16.0	1.92
Manny Harris	44	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	16.6	14.1	2.49	17.4	16.3	1.16
Daniel Gibson	45	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	0	-9	15.9	14.8	1.15	15.3	18.3	-2.94
Ramon Sessions	58	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	14.7	16.5	-1.83	17.4	15.9	1.51
Anderson Varejao	66	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	15.9	13.8	2.08	16.4	18.2	-1.79
Antawn Jamison	73	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-5	1	15.2	15.8	-0.60	16.8	17.1	-0.26
Anthony Parker	73	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.08	-14	5	-19	15.8	13.6	2.17	16.4	18.7	-2.35

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	70	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	-9	27	16.8	16.9	-0.05	15.8	13.8	1.97
Stephen Jackson	73	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.19	10	-1	11	17.1	15.5	1.59	15.5	14.7	0.81
Gerald Wallace	79	82	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	1	7	16.8	17.1	-0.29	15.6	13.0	2.61
D.J. Augustin	68	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	1	7	17.1	15.9	1.17	15.8	14.0	1.78
Nazr Mohammed	35	38	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.11	12	-3	15	15.8	17.6	-1.79	18.4	13.2	5.22
DeSagana Diop	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	12	-15	17.2	16.5	0.69	14.0	16.5	-2.55
Matt Carroll	16	18	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	9	-9	14.8	17.3	-2.49	13.7	15.8	-2.10
Shaun Livingston	24	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	10	-11	16.1	17.1	-1.00	13.9	15.9	-2.05
Derrick Brown	11	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	8	-7	15.0	17.1	-2.12	15.2	15.4	-0.21
Dominic McGuire	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	13	-17	21.6	16.0	5.59	12.0	15.9	-3.86
Gerald Henderson	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	13	-17	16.4	16.9	-0.45	11.1	15.8	-4.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 98, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
POR 85, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.2%
MEM 100, UTA 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%