NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	98		Excitement	3.6 [1066]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +17.4%
Phoenix Suns	116		Comeback	1.2 [824]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -7.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.15	0.00	0.07	13	73%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	54%	0.01	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.03
Lester Hudson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Giddens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	11	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05
Tony Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	8	55%	0.05	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	13	47%	0.00	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Brian Scalabrine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	48%	0.01	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	11	27%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.19	0.01	0.02	14	76%	0.17	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.18	0.00	0.06	15	81%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	52%	0.04	1	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	10	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	-0.00	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	58%	0.01	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	35.0	14.8	28.1	1.8	31.3	137.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.0%

PHX +5.3%

PHX +9.3%

BOS -0.6%

PHX +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.3	102.1	120.8	106.0
season	15.5	14.4		105.7	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.3	15.3	15.8	15.5	15.7
PHX	13.0	14.7	14.8	14.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lester Hudson	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-23	28	13.2	16.1	-2.89	14.4	14.2	0.18
Henry Walker	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	13.7	15.9	-2.18	13.4	14.3	-0.97
J.R. Giddens	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	14.6	16.0	-1.34	13.9	14.3	-0.46
Shelden Williams	36	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-14	10	17.1	14.9	2.11	14.4	14.2	0.15
Eddie House	42	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	-10	2	16.7	15.0	1.65	14.4	14.2	0.18
Tony Allen	66	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-10	2	15.7	15.9	-0.18	13.3	16.5	-3.21
Brian Scalabrine	44	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	-4	-10	15.5	16.0	-0.53	15.6	13.2	2.35
Ray Allen	71	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-6	-6	15.3	17.1	-1.87	14.2	14.4	-0.24
Rasheed Wallace	62	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-7	-4	15.8	15.6	0.23	13.7	15.3	-1.56
Kendrick Perkins	60	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	-1	-16	15.9	15.5	0.38	14.9	13.2	1.66
Rajon Rondo	65	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.14	-21	3	-24	15.9	15.4	0.52	14.5	13.8	0.72

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	79	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.22	26	-8	34	13.8	16.4	-2.54	16.4	12.5	3.90
Grant Hill	44	44	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.07	19	-1	20	14.2	14.3	-0.10	15.7	15.7	-0.02
Jason Richardson	45	45	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.18	21	-3	24	13.9	14.6	-0.70	15.9	15.6	0.24
Steve Nash	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	3	12	13.9	14.8	-0.89	15.1	16.9	-1.76
Amar'e Stoudemire	43	46	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	6	6	14.8	13.8	0.96	15.8	15.6	0.21
Lou Amundson	28	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.12	9	9	0	13.6	14.5	-0.87	17.3	15.2	2.15
Leandro Barbosa	45	45	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	18	-18	14.6	14.0	0.56	15.9	15.6	0.24
Goran Dragic	38	38	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	18	-18	14.9	13.8	1.09	16.7	15.1	1.61
Jared Dudley	46	47	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	18	-18	14.4	14.1	0.25	16.0	15.4	0.59
Robin Lopez	30	30	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.19	-6	24	-30	15.2	13.8	1.37	13.3	16.8	-3.50
Earl Clark	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	14.4	14.2	0.18	13.2	16.1	-2.89
Jarron Collins	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	13.7	14.3	-0.66	12.9	16.0	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1	96.6%
POR 85, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.5%
MIN 94, MIL 127	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%