NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	104		Excitement	4.7 [908]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +10.9%
New Jersey Nets	88		Comeback	1.5 [999]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -10.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	13	77%	0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	14	54%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	11	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	10	58%	0.09	1	-0.04	13	69%	-0.03
Brandon Bass	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	73%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	12	38%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Duhon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.04	0.06	4	75%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	15	67%	0.15	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Ben Uzoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.03	15	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	8	48%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Travis Outlaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	8	48%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	6	44%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	7	31%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	0.2	27.6	15.5	32.3	2.5	26.2	132.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +45.6%

NJN -0.7%

ORL +2.4%

ORL +5.5%

NJN -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.2	16.6	15.5	110.6	94.6	105.7
season	15.2	16.4		106.3	101.6
opponent	15.3	16.2		108.5	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.6	13.4	13.6	14.3	14.2
NJN	18.7	17.3	15.2	15.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	57	57	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.12	24	-8	32	12.7	16.5	-3.78	16.6	16.6	0.01
Ryan Anderson	58	55	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	2	12	13.4	15.4	-2.07	16.5	16.8	-0.29
Gilbert Arenas	44	43	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	5	6	12.3	15.8	-3.44	15.6	17.6	-1.98
Dwight Howard	62	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	-1	18	14.6	13.4	1.16	16.5	16.9	-0.32
Jason Richardson	63	62	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	8	0	13.9	14.8	-0.90	16.2	17.5	-1.35
Hedo Turkoglu	62	62	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	9	-2	15.5	11.5	4.00	17.3	15.3	2.08
Jameer Nelson	44	45	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.21	12	4	8	15.6	12.9	2.63	18.0	15.4	2.62
Brandon Bass	62	62	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.13	8	8	0	14.2	14.1	0.12	17.1	15.7	1.35
Chris Duhon	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	17.3	14.0	3.38	13.6	16.8	-3.22
Quentin Richardson	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	17.3	14.0	3.38	13.6	16.8	-3.22
Earl Clark	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	17.3	14.0	3.38	13.6	16.8	-3.22

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	52	51	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.08	0	-16	16	16.9	16.3	0.54	14.9	13.3	1.60
Ben Uzoh	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-23	30	13.6	16.8	-3.22	17.3	14.0	3.38
Stephen Graham	50	49	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-7	-2	17.6	15.6	1.98	14.5	13.8	0.71
Travis Outlaw	65	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-13	10	16.2	17.7	-1.53	14.7	12.7	2.04
Devin Harris	63	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-5	-6	17.6	14.7	2.87	14.4	13.8	0.54
Troy Murphy	31	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-12	8	15.2	17.4	-2.18	12.7	14.9	-2.20
Jordan Farmar	46	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-4	-8	15.7	17.6	-1.92	13.0	15.4	-2.38
Brook Lopez	69	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.22	-21	5	-26	17.7	13.5	4.18	14.4	13.6	0.78
Derrick Favors	34	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	-9	2	15.4	17.4	-1.94	14.0	14.3	-0.23
Sasha Vujacic	50	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.06	-20	4	-24	16.4	17.0	-0.62	13.6	14.8	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
ATL 99, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.6%
UTA 91, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%