NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	6.4 [540]		MVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): +19.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	94		Comeback	1.4 [368]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -18.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.08	0.03	14	67%	0.22	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.04
Sasha Vujacic	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	8	89%	0.21	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	11	55%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	48%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jordan Farmar	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Devin Harris	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.05	0.02	11	44%	-0.02	5	-0.15	5	80%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	10	63%	0.11	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	15	49%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	0.00	0.07	12	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	13	35%	-0.05	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	16	32%	-0.07	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.0	32.0	15.8	28.0	2.4	37.7	140.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +68.3%

MEM -16.0%

NJN +0.8%

MEM -8.2%

NJN +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MEM	NBA	NJN	MEM	NBA
this game	16.6	14.8	15.5	109.8	103.3	105.7
season	16.4	15.5		101.6	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.7	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	18.6	16.3	17.0	16.6
MEM	16.5	15.0	14.3	13.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	69	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-6	19	17.1	15.3	1.71	15.8	11.7	4.16
Stephen Graham	66	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-3	13	15.8	18.7	-2.87	15.2	14.0	1.21
Travis Outlaw	73	71	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	3	1	16.8	16.2	0.60	14.8	15.0	-0.28
Derrick Favors	24	26	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	-4	15	18.0	16.2	1.80	14.0	15.2	-1.17
Devin Harris	56	55	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.24	3	4	-1	16.5	16.9	-0.42	15.1	14.4	0.78
Kris Humphries	60	57	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	6	-5	15.5	18.8	-3.35	14.4	15.6	-1.30
Jordan Farmar	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	3	1	16.9	16.5	0.42	14.4	15.1	-0.78
Sasha Vujacic	48	47	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	8	-9	16.7	16.5	0.21	14.0	15.7	-1.68
Troy Murphy	28	28	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	17	-27	18.4	15.9	2.48	14.9	14.8	0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamed Haddadi	1	1	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-9	11	8.0	14.9	-6.91	23.0	16.6	6.44
Tony Allen	13	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-5	3	14.9	14.8	0.10	15.7	16.8	-1.01
Mike Conley	64	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-6	5	14.6	15.3	-0.66	15.6	19.1	-3.51
Xavier Henry	36	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-5	3	14.8	14.8	-0.00	15.5	17.5	-2.04
Hasheem Thabeet	29	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-4	1	15.1	14.7	0.44	18.0	16.0	2.08
Zach Randolph	61	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-9	11	15.0	14.4	0.65	16.5	17.0	-0.55
Marc Gasol	55	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-1	-5	15.0	14.6	0.37	15.6	18.1	-2.47
Greivis Vasquez	27	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.17	-6	-1	-5	15.3	14.6	0.66	19.1	15.6	3.51
O.J. Mayo	53	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	13.9	16.1	-2.14	16.7	16.5	0.21
Darrell Arthur	33	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	3	-13	15.2	14.6	0.54	18.9	15.4	3.44
Rudy Gay	83	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	15.0	13.4	1.60	16.6	17.0	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.13,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 104, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.7%
CHH 108, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.31,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0,0	93.5%
WAS 75, CHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.09,0	93.3%