NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	7.4 [356]		MVP	Grant Hill (PHX): +23.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Comeback	1.7 [278]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -11.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.11	0.00	17	62%	0.29	2	-0.05	14	86%	0.05
Steve Nash	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.19	0.08	0.09	-0.02	9	91%	0.30	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Robin Lopez	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	10	86%	0.24	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	69%	0.13	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Josh Childress	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	9	56%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	58%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0	-0.02	0.04	0.02	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Earl Barron	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	10	83%	0.29	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	12	61%	0.18	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	3	73%	0.07	0	0.00	9	100%	0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	19	54%	0.23	3	-0.21	14	79%	0.03
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	17	42%	0.01	3	-0.12	11	82%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.0	31.0	15.7	27.2	2.5	41.5	148.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +49.1%

OKC -5.9%

PHX +9.9%

OKC -1.9%

OKC -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	OKC	NBA	PHX	OKC	NBA
this game	15.4	14.0	15.5	115.3	112.2	105.7
season	14.5	15.0		108.0	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.4	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.2	15.4	15.1	17.0	15.4
OKC	15.8	13.4	12.6	14.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	75	75	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.44	17	-14	31	15.2	15.9	-0.67	14.5	12.2	2.37
Robin Lopez	61	59	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.09	21	-18	39	15.0	16.1	-1.14	15.4	11.8	3.60
Steve Nash	67	68	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	-2	7	14.2	18.1	-3.90	14.1	13.6	0.51
Goran Dragic	64	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	4	-5	16.4	13.5	2.95	13.2	15.5	-2.30
Josh Childress	57	57	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.38	-4	7	-11	16.1	14.4	1.65	13.6	14.5	-0.81
Jared Dudley	59	58	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	6	-9	15.5	15.3	0.15	14.6	13.2	1.38
Channing Frye	59	61	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	8	-13	14.9	16.1	-1.21	13.9	14.1	-0.15
Earl Barron	11	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	5	-7	19.8	14.8	4.98	10.8	14.4	-3.55
Hakim Warrick	37	37	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.02	-13	16	-29	15.2	15.5	-0.34	12.2	15.0	-2.81

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	53	52	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.18	8	-11	19	12.4	15.8	-3.39	15.3	15.5	-0.11
DJ White	14	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-1	-1	13.6	14.0	-0.40	17.8	15.0	2.84
Nick Collison	60	60	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.31	8	-11	19	13.8	14.3	-0.45	15.8	14.8	0.95
Eric Maynor	23	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	1	-5	13.6	14.1	-0.50	16.5	15.1	1.36
Serge Ibaka	23	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	7	-17	16.0	13.4	2.63	13.8	15.9	-2.07
Russell Westbrook	75	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-4	5	14.1	13.6	0.50	15.1	16.5	-1.36
Kevin Durant	87	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-4	5	14.2	12.3	1.93	15.2	17.3	-2.11
Thabo Sefolosha	79	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	2	-7	13.9	14.2	-0.27	15.8	13.8	1.93
Jeff Green	76	75	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.50	-12	9	-21	14.5	12.3	2.16	15.0	16.6	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.56,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.02,0	91.8%
CLE 104, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.15,0.05,0.14,0.04,0	91.7%
POR 102, DAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.31,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.11,0.21,0.04,0,0	91.6%