NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	73		Excitement	6.1 [605]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +16.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	86		Comeback	1.7 [674]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -16.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.04	-0.03	15	58%	0.14	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Sean Marks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armon Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	7	27%	-0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	16	21%	-0.11	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	10	56%	0.04	5	-0.17	5	80%	0.02
Marcus Camby	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	9	27%	-0.09	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.08	-0.06	20	47%	0.16	0	0.00	13	69%	-0.03
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.10	-0.02	10	54%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	17	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	8	33%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.0	31.8	15.6	28.7	2.6	30.0	135.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +33.6%

MEM +1.3%

MEM +14.8%

MEM +7.3%

POR -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	16.2	16.2	15.5	81.1	97.7	105.7
season	16.5	15.5		106.7	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.7	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	16.5	17.0	17.3	16.2
MEM	17.3	15.5	15.6	16.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	37	34	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-11	9	17.3	15.4	1.93	14.6	17.2	-2.58
Armon Johnson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	8.0	16.5	-8.47	18.7	16.1	2.58
Brandon Roy	69	68	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-14	15	16.1	16.3	-0.19	17.0	13.2	3.84
Sean Marks	12	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-14	15	10.9	17.0	-6.08	15.0	16.3	-1.34
Marcus Camby	61	61	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-16	19	16.2	16.2	0.02	17.4	13.3	4.09
Patty Mills	9	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-9	5	16.0	16.2	-0.21	10.9	16.7	-5.83
Nicolas Batum	20	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-2	-9	14.8	16.6	-1.79	12.6	17.1	-4.54
Rudy Fernandez	27	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-7	1	17.1	15.8	1.26	15.9	16.3	-0.35
Joel Przybilla	16	14	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	18.6	15.7	2.96	12.1	16.9	-4.79
Andre Miller	67	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	-4	-5	17.0	13.9	3.06	16.7	14.5	2.16
Wesley Matthews	80	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.11	-13	0	-13	15.6	20.9	-5.30	16.3	15.4	0.87
LaMarcus Aldridge	49	51	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.06	-17	4	-21	16.4	16.0	0.44	17.2	14.8	2.44

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	31	32	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-4	21	15.6	16.5	-0.86	18.1	15.1	2.96
O.J. Mayo	52	56	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.16	15	-2	17	14.9	17.9	-3.00	17.5	14.1	3.38
Greivis Vasquez	25	28	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-1	15	14.1	17.0	-2.86	19.1	14.9	4.29
Darrell Arthur	35	37	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	1	11	15.5	16.6	-1.18	18.7	14.5	4.22
Zach Randolph	75	77	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	4	5	16.3	15.6	0.65	15.5	20.2	-4.63
Marc Gasol	61	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	7	-1	16.6	15.1	1.47	16.2	16.1	0.18
Rudy Gay	64	65	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	12	-11	16.3	15.9	0.35	14.6	20.4	-5.89
Xavier Henry	34	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	18	-23	17.9	15.1	2.84	14.0	17.4	-3.40
Mike Conley	63	62	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	17	-21	17.1	13.9	3.20	14.9	19.1	-4.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 100, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,1	93.8%
TOR 90, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
IND 84, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%