NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	110		Excitement	8.9 [121]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +64.8%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	3.7 [606]		LVP	Linas Kleiza (TOR): -15.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.65	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.65	0.29	0.40	0.05	24	72%	0.66	1	-0.01	9	78%	-0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.12	0.00	11	63%	0.22	0	0.00	8	87%	0.07
Jerryd Bayless	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.12	1	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Ed Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	11	31%	-0.11	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.44,0.56	0.56	0.08	0.50	0.02	27	59%	0.65	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.20	0.01	20	61%	0.39	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	13	57%	0.16	1	-0.05	9	89%	0.04
Landry Fields	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	9	47%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	6	58%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	13	54%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.4	28.4	17.4	28.6	2.7	32.2	139.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +58.3%

TOR -11.4%

NYK +7.1%

TOR -10.4%

NYK +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	13.8	14.3	15.5	107.8	109.7	105.7
season	15.1	14.3		104.7	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		108.4	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.1	14.0	14.1	12.9	13.8
NYK	13.1	14.2	12.1	18.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	41	42	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-5	7	13.8	13.8	-0.04	13.5	14.8	-1.26
Ed Davis	23	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-2	1	14.6	13.6	0.98	11.0	15.3	-4.29
Amir Johnson	40	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-1	-1	14.3	13.5	0.86	14.3	14.3	-0.05
Linas Kleiza	63	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.38	6	-9	15	12.9	15.2	-2.27	15.1	12.9	2.16
DeMar DeRozan	74	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-2	1	13.6	14.3	-0.66	13.9	15.2	-1.32
Leandro Barbosa	55	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	1	-5	14.7	12.8	1.89	13.5	15.2	-1.76
Sonny Weems	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-1	-1	13.3	14.9	-1.65	15.2	12.4	2.85
Jose Calderon	61	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	2	-7	13.8	13.8	0.04	14.8	13.5	1.26
Andrea Bargnani	83	83	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.47	-8	5	-13	14.0	12.8	1.18	14.7	12.5	2.16

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	71	70	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.46	9	-6	15	14.9	13.0	1.83	13.9	13.5	0.44
Danilo Gallinari	80	80	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.31	14	-11	25	14.3	14.3	0.04	14.0	13.2	0.79
Raymond Felton	93	93	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-2	7	14.2	14.7	-0.45	13.7	15.1	-1.43
Amar'e Stoudemire	90	90	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-3	9	14.7	11.8	2.89	13.8	13.9	-0.13
Wilson Chandler	88	85	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.34	3	0	3	14.5	12.8	1.75	13.8	14.1	-0.31
Toney Douglas	50	48	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	5	-7	13.1	15.4	-2.24	14.2	13.5	0.72
Shawne Williams	25	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.12	-10	13	-23	14.0	14.4	-0.44	13.2	14.0	-0.75
Ronny Turiaf	18	19	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	13	-23	12.8	14.6	-1.77	13.3	13.9	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, HOU 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.85,0.96,0.84,0.73,1	91.7%
ATL 102, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.85,1	91.6%
DEN 103, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.67,0.58,1	91.5%