NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	7.8 [283]		MVP	Channing Frye (PHX): +34.7%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	4.1 [376]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -23.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	11	67%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Rush	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.02	16	66%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.08	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	9	89%	0.16	8	-0.24	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	3	56%	0.02	5	-0.18	3	100%	0.02
Danny Granger	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.11	-0.02	13	25%	-0.17	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.22	0.15	0.03	16	83%	0.43	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.08	0.01	11	81%	0.25	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	7	86%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.01	4	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.03	0.05	7	60%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	36%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Earl Barron	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	9	25%	-0.11	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	8	45%	-0.02	5	-0.17	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	32.5	15.6	26.2	3.4	35.2	141.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +11.8%

PHX +4.7%

PHX +1.5%

PHX +35.3%

IND -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHX	NBA	IND	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	14.1	15.5	97.0	105.0	105.7
season	14.7	14.5		103.1	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		109.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	14.1	16.2	14.5	14.7
PHX	14.5	13.1	15.1	13.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	39	42	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.11	6	-14	20	14.6	14.8	-0.26	14.7	13.6	1.09
Solomon Jones	46	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-7	6	14.5	14.9	-0.49	13.7	14.4	-0.79
Josh McRoberts	66	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-6	4	13.5	17.1	-3.59	13.8	14.6	-0.80
Darren Collison	48	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-2	-4	15.3	14.2	1.10	13.1	15.0	-1.96
T.J. Ford	52	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-6	4	14.2	15.3	-1.10	15.0	13.1	1.96
Mike Dunleavy	62	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-2	-4	15.0	14.2	0.78	14.1	14.1	0.00
Roy Hibbert	35	34	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	3	-14	17.2	13.4	3.82	15.4	13.4	1.97
Danny Granger	75	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.28	-7	-1	-6	14.8	14.6	0.16	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Brandon Rush	77	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.26	-11	3	-14	14.6	15.1	-0.53	13.8	15.0	-1.19

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	57	56	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-9	26	13.3	15.1	-1.74	15.8	13.4	2.38
Channing Frye	83	82	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-4	16	14.0	14.6	-0.61	15.3	12.2	3.05
Jason Richardson	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-4	16	14.4	13.4	1.01	15.1	14.0	1.07
Steve Nash	62	61	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	-1	10	14.3	13.8	0.51	14.9	14.5	0.42
Jared Dudley	63	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	8	-8	14.1	14.1	-0.00	13.9	16.2	-2.39
Earl Clark	17	20	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	4	0	13.9	14.1	-0.24	13.1	15.1	-2.03
Goran Dragic	38	39	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	9	-10	13.8	14.3	-0.51	14.5	14.9	-0.42
Earl Barron	38	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	6	-4	15.8	13.0	2.76	15.4	14.3	1.17
Hedo Turkoglu	41	39	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	13	-18	13.4	14.6	-1.17	14.2	15.0	-0.84
Hakim Warrick	16	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	9	-10	14.0	14.1	-0.10	13.8	14.9	-1.08
Josh Childress	19	18	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	17	-26	13.9	14.1	-0.23	12.8	15.1	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.43,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.38,0.48,0.35,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, CHH 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.86,0.97,0.97,1,1	93.2%
CLE 88, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.89,0.99,1,0.98,1	92.3%
MIA 87, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	92.2%