NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	7.0 [420]		MVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): +28.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	1.4 [214]		LVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): -10.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.28	0.09	0.19	0.00	13	71%	0.33	3	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Danny Granger	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	53%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	14	47%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.05	0.03	0.01	13	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
James Posey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.02	-0.00	9	28%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	27%	-0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	10	68%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Caracter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,-0.1	-0.10	0.08	-0.15	0.03	33	52%	0.00	3	-0.10	13	77%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	0.03	0.01	15	39%	0.02	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	27.6	16.4	26.5	2.4	29.7	130.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +43.8%

LAL -10.3%

IND +9.5%

IND +2.0%

IND +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAL	NBA	IND	LAL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.5	15.5	101.1	97.9	105.7
season	14.7	15.9		103.1	108.8
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.1	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.4	14.2	16.7	18.3	16.1
LAL	13.4	15.2	14.6	15.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	78	79	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-5	13	15.4	19.6	-4.17	15.0	11.9	3.17
Roy Hibbert	67	67	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-3	9	15.7	17.0	-1.25	14.5	14.6	-0.14
James Posey	29	28	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	-5	13	15.6	16.3	-0.75	14.5	14.5	0.01
Brandon Rush	62	61	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.41	-4	7	-11	16.5	15.3	1.25	15.0	13.8	1.19
T.J. Ford	42	42	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	2	-1	17.6	14.9	2.69	14.7	14.4	0.24
Darren Collison	52	52	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	1	1	14.9	17.6	-2.69	14.4	14.7	-0.24
Josh McRoberts	39	40	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	4	-5	15.5	16.6	-1.10	16.2	13.3	2.90
Mike Dunleavy	48	48	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	1	1	16.7	15.5	1.23	13.2	16.0	-2.79
Tyler Hansbrough	26	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	7	-11	17.7	15.5	2.14	12.0	15.5	-3.55
Solomon Jones	27	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	6	-9	17.0	15.7	1.25	14.6	14.5	0.14

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	27	27	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.02	7	-10	17	13.7	14.9	-1.21	17.0	15.7	1.25
Derrick Caracter	5	5	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-4	5	12.0	14.7	-2.67	16.4	16.1	0.31
Luke Walton	6	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-1	-1	14.8	14.5	0.32	15.4	16.1	-0.75
Matt Barnes	40	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	1	-5	13.8	15.0	-1.19	16.4	15.9	0.55
Steve Blake	50	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.31	3	-6	9	14.4	14.7	-0.24	17.4	14.6	2.76
Derek Fisher	44	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	3	-9	14.7	14.4	0.24	14.6	17.4	-2.76
Kobe Bryant	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-2	1	14.7	13.9	0.79	16.0	16.7	-0.78
Lamar Odom	79	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-4	5	14.2	16.1	-1.91	16.1	16.3	-0.27
Pau Gasol	88	89	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.42	-4	1	-5	14.8	10.0	4.84	16.1	16.4	-0.31
Metta World Peace	53	52	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.37	-10	7	-17	15.4	13.4	2.07	15.7	16.6	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 92, SAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.5%
SAC 100, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.09,0,0	94.2%
DET 103, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0	94.1%