NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Excitement	11.3 [20]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +26.3%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	14.0 [103]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -23.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.11,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.26	0.22	0.21	0.16	24	65%	0.46	3	-0.19	18	94%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.22	-0.07	0.28	-0.01	26	42%	0.30	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.05
Thabo Sefolosha	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.01	6	81%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Serge Ibaka	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.03	0.01	16	37%	0.01	2	-0.08	8	75%	0.04
James Harden	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	5	43%	-0.06	2	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.18,0.18	0.18	-0.01	0.20	0.01	11	43%	0.20	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.10
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.05	-0.03	2	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	62%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.05	0.00	6	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.06
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.03	8	63%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.02,-0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	24	55%	0.26	7	-0.38	7	86%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23	-0.23	-0.03	-0.20	0.00	21	43%	-0.18	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	29.8	16.0	26.1	2.4	39.4	1.7	22.6	164.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -5.5%

OKC +37.6%

OKC +1.4%

OKC +7.5%

OKC +9.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	IND	NBA	OKC	IND	NBA
this game	14.3	15.6	15.5	102.8	100.0	105.7
season	15.0	14.7		108.8	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.5	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	12.8	17.7	12.8	15.1	11.9	14.3
IND	16.0	13.6	17.3	14.9	16.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	92	91	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.36	14	-10	24	13.7	18.0	-4.34	15.8	14.2	1.62
Russell Westbrook	85	86	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-5	14	13.6	16.9	-3.32	15.6	15.5	0.05
James Harden	60	59	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.49	2	2	0	14.6	13.8	0.82	15.4	15.9	-0.54
DJ White	25	22	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	-2	8	14.3	14.3	0.06	16.2	15.4	0.74
Thabo Sefolosha	94	93	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.36	5	-1	6	14.2	14.5	-0.30	15.8	14.5	1.29
Byron Mullens	10	10	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.09	9	-5	14	9.9	14.7	-4.82	18.2	15.3	2.88
Royal Ivey	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	5	-6	0.5	14.5	-14.03	3.5	15.8	-12.33
Nick Collison	18	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	9	-14	13.7	14.4	-0.66	15.7	15.6	0.11
Jeff Green	91	94	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	8	-12	14.9	10.8	4.07	15.6	15.6	0.01
Eric Maynor	22	20	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	9	-14	16.9	13.6	3.32	15.5	15.6	-0.05
Serge Ibaka	36	34	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.02	-10	14	-24	16.0	13.4	2.61	14.5	16.1	-1.65

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	30	33	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.04	13	-17	30	13.7	16.3	-2.64	15.4	13.8	1.58
T.J. Ford	55	55	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.04	12	-16	28	14.8	16.5	-1.69	15.1	13.4	1.61
Mike Dunleavy	69	68	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.02	7	-11	18	15.0	16.6	-1.62	13.9	14.9	-1.07
James Posey	53	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.34	5	-9	14	16.6	14.6	2.06	14.8	13.7	1.12
Josh McRoberts	54	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	5	-14	14.3	16.9	-2.65	13.7	14.8	-1.12
Brandon Rush	54	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-4	4	16.2	14.9	1.32	15.0	13.4	1.60
Danny Granger	90	90	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.30	-16	12	-28	15.5	16.1	-0.55	13.9	16.0	-2.06
Darren Collison	51	52	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.34	-16	12	-28	16.5	14.8	1.69	13.4	15.1	-1.61
Roy Hibbert	74	73	-1.03	0.53	-1.55	-0.56	-16	12	-28	16.7	13.0	3.76	14.0	14.9	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.64,0.91,0.9,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 100, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.62,0.54,0.76,0.92,0.46,0.25,0.37,0.55,0.58,0	88.6%
MIA 130, GSW 129	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.73,0	88.1%
PHX 105, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.93,0.78,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.42,0	88.0%