NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	89		Excitement	6.5 [517]		MVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): +28.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	99		Comeback	2.9 [536]		LVP	Shane Battier (HOU): -14.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	7	78%	0.16	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Chase Budinger	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	15	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Brad Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Taylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	17	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ish Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	2	50%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	3	70%	0.04	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.05
Luis Scola	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.06
Charles Hayes	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	5	60%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	7	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Shane Battier	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	9	11%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.10	0.16	-0.03	14	71%	0.32	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	21	42%	-0.01	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	14	53%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	30.5	16.7	27.2	2.7	28.3	133.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +16.6%

CHA +10.2%

CHA +5.6%

CHA +17.1%

CHA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHA	NBA	HOU	CHA	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.5	94.7	104.2	105.7
season	15.2	16.2		109.5	102.3
opponent	15.5	14.9		106.5	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	16.2	16.4	15.7	15.9
CHA	13.1	15.8	13.6	16.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	7.0	16.0	-9.04	16.0	14.6	1.41
Jermaine Taylor	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	7.0	16.0	-9.04	16.0	14.6	1.41
Brad Miller	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-15	20	17.1	15.4	1.69	16.0	14.2	1.78
Ish Smith	18	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-12	14	14.3	16.2	-1.95	16.0	14.3	1.69
Courtney Lee	32	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.34	10	-20	30	16.5	15.5	0.98	16.9	13.4	3.44
Jordan Hill	46	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-15	20	17.0	14.8	2.21	14.9	14.4	0.45
Chase Budinger	54	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-11	12	16.5	15.0	1.44	14.9	14.2	0.72
Charles Hayes	41	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	1	-12	14.8	16.7	-1.86	14.4	14.8	-0.36
Luis Scola	61	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.15	-18	8	-26	15.7	16.2	-0.56	13.7	16.2	-2.53
Kevin Martin	64	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.11	-18	8	-26	15.6	16.3	-0.66	13.3	17.3	-3.95
Kyle Lowry	76	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	2	-14	16.2	14.3	1.95	14.3	16.0	-1.69
Shane Battier	51	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	10	-30	15.2	16.6	-1.35	14.7	14.5	0.21

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	74	72	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.21	17	-7	24	14.6	14.8	-0.17	15.2	18.0	-2.86
D.J. Augustin	65	64	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-8	26	14.5	15.0	-0.49	14.9	17.8	-2.91
Stephen Jackson	67	68	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-6	22	14.5	14.9	-0.42	16.0	15.5	0.43
Gerald Wallace	78	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	0	10	14.1	17.1	-3.03	15.9	15.6	0.32
Tyrus Thomas	32	29	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	2	6	16.1	13.9	2.16	16.5	15.6	0.91
Nazr Mohammed	53	53	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	-2	14	14.0	15.4	-1.39	15.3	16.5	-1.17
Derrick Brown	30	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	13	-16	15.0	14.4	0.59	16.7	15.5	1.25
Sherron Collins	1	1	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	13	-16	1.0	14.8	-13.78	22.0	15.8	6.22
Dominic McGuire	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	16	-22	17.5	14.5	2.99	20.2	15.7	4.59
Kwame Brown	10	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	16	-22	18.5	14.2	4.32	16.6	15.7	0.89
Shaun Livingston	31	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	17	-24	15.8	14.0	1.79	17.1	15.2	1.88
Matt Carroll	30	29	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	16	-22	13.4	15.2	-1.75	16.1	15.8	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.85,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	93.7%
MIA 80, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.99,1,1	93.2%
LAC 90, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%