NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	79		Excitement	4.3 [989]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +17.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	1.7 [393]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -11.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	14	53%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jon Brockman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	12	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	46%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	13	35%	-0.05	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.03	-0.01	13	68%	0.18	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	13	59%	0.07	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	67%	0.08	3	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	7	19%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	12	38%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	31.0	15.8	31.0	2.8	30.2	135.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.3%

PHI +3.3%

MIL -4.4%

PHI +9.6%

MIL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.5	84.9	95.7	105.7
season	16.2	15.5		100.1	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.4	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	19.5	17.3	11.1	15.7
PHI	13.8	13.2	14.0	19.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Brockman	18	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.23	7	-18	25	11.2	16.7	-5.58	16.2	14.9	1.35
Luc Mbah a Moute	40	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-10	9	17.6	14.2	3.39	15.3	15.0	0.32
Ersan Ilyasova	17	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-9	7	14.4	16.0	-1.61	13.7	15.5	-1.82
Andrew Bogut	59	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-5	-1	16.6	14.1	2.44	15.9	13.9	1.95
Brandon Jennings	56	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-4	-3	16.3	14.7	1.65	16.1	13.7	2.40
Keyon Dooling	23	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-7	3	13.6	16.4	-2.79	15.5	15.0	0.54
John Salmons	70	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-4	-3	16.4	13.6	2.79	15.0	15.5	-0.54
Earl Boykins	37	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-7	3	14.7	16.3	-1.65	13.7	16.1	-2.40
Larry Sanders	21	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.08	-13	2	-15	16.8	15.3	1.48	10.7	16.3	-5.64
Drew Gooden	71	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-3	-5	16.0	14.5	1.59	15.9	12.9	2.95
Corey Maggette	53	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-1	-9	14.2	17.6	-3.39	15.0	15.3	-0.32

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	75	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-6	23	15.5	13.5	2.02	15.4	16.5	-1.13
Andres Nocioni	44	43	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.03	10	1	9	14.9	15.4	-0.47	15.8	15.6	0.23
Lou Williams	61	59	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	5	1	15.7	14.1	1.57	14.9	17.0	-2.10
Jrue Holiday	61	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	6	-1	16.1	13.3	2.78	14.8	17.4	-2.63
Marreese Speights	35	35	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	3	5	13.5	16.1	-2.59	15.4	15.8	-0.43
Spencer Hawes	47	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	5	1	15.1	15.2	-0.11	16.8	14.5	2.34
Jodie Meeks	24	22	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	3	5	12.2	16.2	-3.99	19.0	14.6	4.43
Elton Brand	60	61	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	12	-13	16.2	13.2	2.98	15.0	17.0	-1.99
Evan Turner	55	56	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	15	-19	14.9	15.4	-0.46	16.4	14.6	1.83
Tony Battie	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	11	-11	10.6	15.6	-4.93	14.9	15.7	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,0.95,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 78, LAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DAL 95, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
UTA 78, SAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%