NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	6.8 [475]		MVP	Michael Beasley (MIN): +9.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Comeback	30.9 [29]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (MIN): -15.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.02	0.02	17	58%	0.12	1	-0.05	9	100%	0.04
Raymond Felton	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.01	13	67%	0.08	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Toney Douglas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	19	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Landry Fields	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.02	14	52%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	15	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.04	29	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	9	83%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.06	0.01	7	67%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.04	26	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	10	80%	-0.02
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lazar Hayward	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	11	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	0.7	30.6	15.3	28.4	2.5	34.5	137.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +22.9%

NYK -10.8%

MIN +37.4%

MIN +0.6%

NYK -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	13.4	14.0	15.5	98.1	106.7	105.7
season	14.3	14.3		108.6	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		109.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.3	13.6	14.0	13.9	13.4
MIN	12.9	13.1	13.7	16.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Randolph	25	24	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.02	4	-13	17	14.8	13.0	1.86	13.5	14.1	-0.61
Timofey Mozgov	37	37	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.05	1	-10	11	15.4	12.3	3.11	12.5	14.8	-2.31
Landry Fields	79	79	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.17	2	-11	13	13.1	14.3	-1.18	13.9	14.2	-0.29
Danilo Gallinari	89	89	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-7	5	13.3	13.9	-0.54	14.2	12.9	1.34
Raymond Felton	89	90	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	1	-11	12.8	16.7	-3.93	14.3	12.5	1.80
Toney Douglas	51	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	2	-13	14.8	12.1	2.62	13.6	14.4	-0.82
Amar'e Stoudemire	62	63	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	3	-15	12.4	14.9	-2.56	14.7	13.0	1.64
Wilson Chandler	93	94	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.19	-17	8	-25	13.1	15.9	-2.82	14.1	13.0	1.13

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	61	62	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.22	18	-9	27	14.2	13.7	0.45	14.6	11.7	2.84
Wesley Johnson	84	82	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.24	15	-6	21	14.0	14.2	-0.29	13.1	14.4	-1.30
Kevin Love	88	90	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-3	15	14.3	12.3	2.05	13.0	15.7	-2.70
Sebastian Telfair	80	82	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	1	7	14.7	11.9	2.80	12.7	16.1	-3.47
Michael Beasley	86	90	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	7	-5	14.7	11.0	3.67	13.1	15.3	-2.23
Sundiata Gaines	25	23	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	8	-7	11.9	14.7	-2.80	16.1	12.7	3.47
Kosta Koufos	8	7	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	7	-5	12.1	14.2	-2.04	13.6	13.4	0.16
Nikola Pekovic	16	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	10	-11	13.1	14.2	-1.04	15.5	13.1	2.39
Lazar Hayward	5	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	10	-11	10.6	14.2	-3.58	15.7	13.3	2.42
Darko Milicic	45	46	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	13	-17	13.7	14.2	-0.56	12.7	14.0	-1.36
Anthony Tolliver	27	24	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.01	-7	16	-23	12.8	14.4	-1.61	13.8	13.3	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.51,0.67,0.47,0.64,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 90, VAN 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.95,1,1	91.4%
HOU 110, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.73,1	90.8%
UTA 99, OKC 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.73,0.89,0.93,0.94,1,1	90.6%