NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	102		Excitement	7.9 [261]		MVP	James Posey (IND): +23.8%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	2.6 [317]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -17.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.07	0.03	16	66%	0.19	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.04
Kevin Martin	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.13	0.03	14	57%	0.21	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Luis Scola	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.02	13	53%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Courtney Lee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.02	10	54%	0.12	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Ish Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.07	-0.00	12	79%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	6	56%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	9	75%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	40%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	14	60%	0.07	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	6	17%	-0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.12	0.02	13	48%	-0.04	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	18	45%	-0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.0	28.7	15.4	22.4	2.5	33.9	131.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +46.2%

HOU +1.1%

IND -9.5%

HOU +7.7%

HOU +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	IND	NBA	HOU	IND	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.5	106.2	103.1	105.7
season	15.2	14.7		109.5	103.1
opponent	15.4	14.9		104.5	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.0	14.4	15.0	18.1	14.6
IND	13.8	15.0	15.6	17.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	79	79	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.45	18	-15	33	14.7	14.4	0.32	15.8	13.5	2.26
Brad Miller	68	67	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.33	18	-15	33	14.9	13.9	1.07	15.7	14.7	1.00
Kevin Martin	65	67	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.36	12	-9	21	14.6	14.6	0.00	15.2	15.8	-0.53
Kyle Lowry	67	66	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	0	3	14.9	14.0	0.88	16.8	12.2	4.58
Luis Scola	62	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-7	17	14.0	15.7	-1.69	14.7	16.7	-1.95
Ish Smith	29	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	3	-3	14.0	14.9	-0.88	12.2	16.8	-4.58
Chase Budinger	41	39	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.29	-12	15	-27	15.7	13.8	1.95	16.3	14.8	1.47
Jordan Hill	21	23	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	9	-15	13.9	14.8	-0.97	14.8	15.6	-0.79
Jared Jeffries	11	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	9	-15	15.3	14.5	0.74	13.5	15.6	-2.08
Charles Hayes	7	6	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	12	-21	13.9	14.7	-0.82	14.3	15.5	-1.12
Courtney Lee	30	29	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.02	-13	16	-29	13.9	14.9	-0.99	15.7	15.3	0.39

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Ford	33	34	0.57	-1.07	1.64	0.01	19	-22	41	14.0	16.1	-2.16	13.5	15.2	-1.68
Brandon Rush	53	53	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.04	13	-16	29	15.2	15.7	-0.52	13.9	15.4	-1.50
James Posey	53	52	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.44	16	-19	35	15.0	15.8	-0.82	14.8	14.4	0.38
Roy Hibbert	59	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-4	5	15.1	15.9	-0.87	14.6	14.6	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	20	21	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	9	-21	17.5	14.8	2.73	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Josh McRoberts	60	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	8	-19	15.3	15.5	-0.18	14.5	14.7	-0.19
Mike Dunleavy	65	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.28	-11	8	-19	15.8	14.5	1.28	14.4	15.0	-0.53
Danny Granger	74	75	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.58	-8	5	-13	15.2	16.0	-0.86	15.2	12.4	2.86
Darren Collison	63	62	-1.07	0.57	-1.64	-0.43	-22	19	-41	16.1	14.0	2.16	15.2	13.5	1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.5,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.38,0.21,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, ATL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.1,0	90.6%
MIA 92, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.28,0.16,0.1,0	90.5%
DAL 96, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.55,0.23,0.04,0.02,0	90.4%