NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	91		Excitement	5.1 [826]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): +24.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	88		Comeback	1.2 [543]		LVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): -16.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24	0.19	0.05	-0.00	13	81%	0.24	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.06	-0.05	0.08	-0.02	17	39%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	15	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.04
Mickael Pietrus	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	38%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
JJ Redick	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.00	0.04	15	74%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	83%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.06	-0.03	19	42%	0.09	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	8	37%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.3	32.3	15.7	25.8	1.6	31.2	130.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +22.3%

CHA -3.5%

ORL +7.1%

ORL +20.5%

ORL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.4	14.9	15.5	98.9	95.7	105.7
season	15.2	16.2		106.3	102.3
opponent	15.5	16.2		106.5	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.0	15.2	15.5	19.5	16.4
CHA	16.0	13.6	15.8	14.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	70	68	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-12	27	16.6	16.0	0.65	15.3	13.5	1.78
Dwight Howard	55	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-6	15	16.4	16.5	-0.16	16.1	12.8	3.32
Quentin Richardson	64	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	-5	13	16.7	15.9	0.85	15.4	13.3	2.17
Chris Duhon	64	65	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-5	13	16.2	17.1	-0.95	15.4	13.5	1.95
Rashard Lewis	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	-1	5	16.4	16.6	-0.28	15.7	12.9	2.84
Brandon Bass	28	27	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	4	-5	16.6	16.4	0.28	12.9	15.7	-2.84
Mickael Pietrus	36	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.36	-10	13	-23	16.5	16.4	0.04	13.4	15.7	-2.34
Jason Williams	28	27	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	8	-13	17.1	16.2	0.95	13.5	15.4	-1.95
Marcin Gortat	37	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.18	-6	9	-15	16.5	16.4	0.16	12.8	16.1	-3.32
JJ Redick	14	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	10	-17	14.4	16.8	-2.38	13.5	15.1	-1.66

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrus Thomas	30	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-8	13	13.3	15.6	-2.26	15.8	16.8	-0.96
Gerald Henderson	23	23	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-7	11	13.4	15.3	-1.96	15.1	16.9	-1.81
Shaun Livingston	33	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-5	7	15.0	14.8	0.22	15.6	16.9	-1.36
Derrick Brown	17	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.29	6	-9	15	11.5	15.6	-4.08	20.2	15.6	4.58
DeSagana Diop	23	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	0	-3	12.4	15.7	-3.29	16.5	16.4	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	43	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	9	-21	17.4	12.6	4.85	15.0	17.6	-2.52
Stephen Jackson	78	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-3	3	15.3	12.4	2.95	16.5	16.0	0.53
Boris Diaw	71	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-1	-1	15.5	12.6	2.96	16.6	15.9	0.76
D.J. Augustin	61	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	5	-13	14.8	14.9	-0.07	16.9	15.6	1.35
Gerald Wallace	81	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	4	-11	14.8	15.3	-0.47	16.8	14.1	2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.21,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.13,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 104, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
SAS 95, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	94.6%
MIN 92, DAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%