NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	85		Excitement	5.3 [791]		MVP	Michael Beasley (MIN): +7.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Comeback	2.0 [301]		LVP	Darko Milicic (MIN): -14.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.01	16	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Jon Brockman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	15	37%	-0.05	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.00	-0.03	0.10	8	50%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.02	14	64%	0.15	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Wayne Ellington	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.03	6	72%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.04
Lazar Hayward	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	12	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	10	52%	0.01	5	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	6	12%	-0.09	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	1.8	32.2	15.4	26.7	2.6	25.7	134.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +33.9%

MIN +1.8%

MIN +26.7%

MIL -10.0%

MIL -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIN	NBA	MIL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	13.2	15.5	85.0	95.0	105.7
season	16.2	14.3		100.1	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.4		109.5	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.9	16.6	14.9	16.7	15.5
MIN	12.3	11.5	13.9	15.3	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-12	13	17.3	14.9	2.41	14.6	12.8	1.80
Earl Boykins	29	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-18	25	14.8	15.8	-0.93	14.2	12.7	1.51
Jon Brockman	29	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-12	13	15.8	15.4	0.38	12.0	13.7	-1.70
Luc Mbah a Moute	37	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-14	17	15.0	15.8	-0.82	14.3	12.5	1.78
Ersan Ilyasova	17	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-9	7	13.6	15.9	-2.29	13.0	13.2	-0.22
Andrew Bogut	56	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-10	9	15.7	15.2	0.59	14.4	11.5	2.90
John Salmons	46	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-7	3	15.9	15.1	0.82	13.2	13.2	-0.04
Drew Gooden	41	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-3	-5	15.3	15.6	-0.33	12.9	13.3	-0.42
Larry Sanders	24	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	1	-13	16.8	15.1	1.77	10.7	13.9	-3.27
Corey Maggette	64	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	2	-15	15.9	14.7	1.16	12.7	13.9	-1.21
Carlos Delfino	61	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	1	-13	15.0	16.2	-1.17	13.1	13.3	-0.13
Brandon Jennings	73	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	4	-19	15.0	16.9	-1.92	12.6	14.6	-1.98

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	58	58	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.01	19	-8	27	13.1	13.3	-0.26	14.6	16.7	-2.03
Michael Beasley	65	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	0	11	13.0	13.5	-0.50	16.0	14.5	1.46
Luke Ridnour	66	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	3	5	13.4	12.7	0.71	16.3	13.8	2.47
Wayne Ellington	39	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	5	1	14.1	12.6	1.51	16.3	14.9	1.37
Corey Brewer	44	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	4	3	13.0	13.3	-0.24	14.7	16.2	-1.55
Wesley Johnson	62	58	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	6	-1	12.6	14.1	-1.51	14.9	16.3	-1.37
Anthony Tolliver	50	46	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	12	-13	12.7	13.6	-0.95	16.1	14.9	1.19
Sebastian Telfair	35	32	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	8	-5	12.7	13.4	-0.71	13.8	16.3	-2.47
Nikola Pekovic	13	13	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	8	-5	13.0	13.2	-0.20	15.5	15.5	0.06
Darko Milicic	49	51	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	12	-13	14.6	11.9	2.67	15.8	15.2	0.56
Lazar Hayward	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	13.5	13.2	0.33	14.0	15.5	-1.51
Kosta Koufos	22	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	14	-17	12.4	13.4	-1.04	16.1	15.3	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DAL 110, LAC 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CLE 80, MIL 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%