NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	91		Excitement	7.0 [434]		MVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): +31.4%
New Orleans Hornets	95		Comeback	2.0 [640]		LVP	John Salmons (MIL): -20.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.31,0.31	0.14	0.17	-0.00	12	79%	0.33	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	12	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	10	30%	-0.20
Corey Maggette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	8	67%	0.10	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.05
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Brandon Jennings	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	14	47%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	-0.00	14	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	8	31%	-0.03	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.06	0.20	0.00	11	61%	0.29	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.03
David West	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.03	0.01	14	69%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	15	51%	0.10	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	53%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	36%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	39%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	2.7	30.5	15.4	23.6	1.7	34.3	139.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +3.4%

NOH +32.7%

MIL -2.9%

NOH +15.2%

NOH +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NOH	NBA	MIL	NOH	NBA
this game	15.3	15.1	15.5	95.8	100.0	105.7
season	16.2	16.2		100.1	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.4		104.4	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.8	15.4	16.2	16.0	15.3
NOH	13.9	13.4	16.5	16.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Sanders	11	11	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.13	11	-15	26	9.9	16.0	-6.06	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Earl Boykins	5	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-4	4	12.4	15.4	-3.02	15.5	15.0	0.47
Carlos Delfino	77	77	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.28	8	-12	20	15.4	14.7	0.67	14.6	17.0	-2.40
Keyon Dooling	34	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-5	6	14.6	15.7	-1.10	15.7	14.7	0.97
Andrew Bogut	70	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-2	0	15.7	13.9	1.82	15.3	14.3	1.05
Corey Maggette	38	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	1	-6	14.9	15.5	-0.57	15.4	14.8	0.56
John Salmons	63	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	5	-14	16.4	12.9	3.51	14.5	16.2	-1.65
Brandon Jennings	82	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-3	2	15.0	17.1	-2.10	15.2	14.3	0.86
Ersan Ilyasova	32	31	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.03	-17	13	-30	13.9	16.0	-2.05	14.6	15.3	-0.70
Drew Gooden	63	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	2	-8	16.2	13.4	2.80	15.5	14.2	1.35

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	73	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-7	18	15.0	15.4	-0.40	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Trevor Ariza	82	81	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	-2	8	15.3	13.4	1.93	15.4	14.5	0.90
Jason Smith	50	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	4	-4	14.3	15.9	-1.63	15.3	15.3	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	69	69	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	-1	6	15.6	13.5	2.08	15.4	15.0	0.36
Emeka Okafor	50	50	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	3	-2	15.9	14.1	1.83	15.5	15.0	0.50
Peja Stojakovic	18	17	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	1	2	14.6	15.2	-0.61	11.8	16.0	-4.19
Willie Green	24	23	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	2	0	14.7	15.2	-0.52	15.3	15.3	-0.00
Marcus Thornton	19	21	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	-2	8	14.5	15.2	-0.66	18.2	14.4	3.82
DJ Mbenga	15	15	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	3	-2	13.7	15.3	-1.57	12.9	15.7	-2.85
Jerryd Bayless	18	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	9	-14	12.8	15.6	-2.74	15.6	15.2	0.40
David West	50	51	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	6	-8	15.9	14.1	1.79	16.0	14.4	1.63
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	7	6	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.07	-8	12	-20	13.1	15.2	-2.06	10.5	15.6	-5.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.37,0.52,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.89,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 85, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.7%
IND 88, CHH 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.96,0.93,0.92,1	92.5%
MEM 85, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.99,1,1,1	91.9%