NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	83		Excitement	3.7 [1061]		MVP	Mario West (ATL): +10.8%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	1.1 [1012]		LVP	Delonte West (CLE): -15.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	2	78%	0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Anthony Parker	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	13	54%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	10	36%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.04
Jawad Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Delonte West	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	7	32%	-0.02	5	-0.13	5	40%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario West	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.02	5	77%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.02	-0.07	15	47%	0.09	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	65%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	19	60%	0.08	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	13	38%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.01	4	-0.05	5	40%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	31.7	15.8	29.4	2.7	28.3	136.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.7%

ATL +5.0%

ATL +2.0%

CLE -0.7%

ATL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.3	15.3	87.4	104.2	106.0
season	16.1	16.0		109.5	109.4
opponent	15.8	15.0		106.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.1	13.8	17.3	14.4	15.1
ATL	15.5	13.8	16.2	15.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamario Moon	64	63	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-18	20	14.4	16.5	-2.16	14.6	16.6	-1.98
Anderson Varejao	22	21	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-18	20	14.5	15.2	-0.67	14.1	15.6	-1.42
Sebastian Telfair	46	47	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-18	20	15.2	14.9	0.26	15.0	15.5	-0.54
Antawn Jamison	32	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-13	10	15.4	14.9	0.47	15.4	15.1	0.29
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	46	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	-9	2	14.9	15.2	-0.29	14.5	15.9	-1.40
Leon Powe	42	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-7	-2	15.1	15.0	0.14	15.5	15.1	0.40
JJ Hickson	58	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	-2	-12	15.5	14.4	1.08	15.7	14.5	1.21
Delonte West	50	49	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.08	-20	4	-24	15.2	14.9	0.25	15.4	15.1	0.28
Anthony Parker	50	49	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.08	-20	4	-24	15.2	14.9	0.25	15.4	15.1	0.28
Jawad Williams	65	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.14	-13	-3	-10	15.2	14.8	0.38	16.1	13.3	2.75

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario West	62	62	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.09	23	-7	30	15.5	14.9	0.57	15.9	13.4	2.51
Zaza Pachulia	55	54	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.08	20	-4	24	15.4	15.1	0.31	15.5	14.5	1.01
Jeff Teague	95	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	0	16	15.3	0.0	15.25	15.1	0.0	15.06
Joe Smith	60	59	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	8	0	15.9	14.1	1.80	15.1	15.1	0.01
Marvin Williams	54	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	3	10	15.5	14.9	0.57	15.1	15.0	0.11
Jason Collins	51	51	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	16	-16	15.1	15.4	-0.29	14.6	15.6	-1.07
Randolph Morris	30	32	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	15	-14	14.6	15.6	-0.95	14.4	15.4	-0.94
Maurice Evans	68	68	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	17	-18	14.6	17.0	-2.39	14.5	16.4	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 94, UTA 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CLE 76, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NYK 92, TOR 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%