NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	105		Excitement	5.8 [624]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (ATL): +39.7%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	2.7 [638]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -9.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.26	0.19	0.05	13	90%	0.45	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.09	-0.03	14	67%	0.24	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Randolph Morris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Teague	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	6	57%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	8	59%	0.02	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.01	10	80%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	19	61%	0.15	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	68%	0.10	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Cartier Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	42%	-0.04	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.03
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	24	47%	-0.01	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.5	28.4	15.8	26.2	2.5	31.4	127.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +31.5%

ATL +19.3%

WAS -12.8%

ATL +11.0%

ATL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	16.6	16.5	15.3	119.3	110.5	106.0
season	16.0	15.7		109.4	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.8		107.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.1	15.0	15.4	20.4	16.6
WAS	16.6	18.6	14.6	16.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	46	45	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.17	19	-9	28	17.1	16.0	1.04	16.8	16.1	0.70
Zaza Pachulia	43	43	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-2	14	17.6	15.6	2.03	17.3	15.7	1.67
Jamal Crawford	59	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-3	16	17.1	15.7	1.40	16.4	16.7	-0.25
Al Horford	64	63	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	1	8	17.3	14.6	2.70	16.6	16.3	0.28
Joe Johnson	63	60	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	6	-2	16.9	15.8	1.10	16.2	17.2	-0.92
Joe Smith	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	7	-4	14.9	16.9	-1.96	17.2	16.4	0.85
Randolph Morris	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	12.0	16.7	-4.70	4.0	16.7	-12.66
Mario West	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	12.0	16.7	-4.70	4.0	16.7	-12.66
Marvin Williams	48	49	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	9	-8	16.2	17.0	-0.80	17.1	15.8	1.28
Jeff Teague	17	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	12	-14	15.4	16.9	-1.46	14.4	17.0	-2.69
Mike Bibby	31	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	13	-16	15.5	17.2	-1.61	16.6	16.5	0.14
Josh Smith	52	50	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	16	-22	15.6	18.0	-2.43	16.3	16.8	-0.55

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fabricio Oberto	32	32	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-10	10	17.1	16.2	0.88	15.8	17.0	-1.22
Earl Boykins	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-8	6	19.3	16.1	3.16	15.0	16.8	-1.79
Cartier Martin	1	0	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-8	6	3.0	16.7	-13.67	0.0	16.6	-16.59
Shaun Livingston	72	75	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-11	12	15.8	20.1	-4.25	16.7	15.9	0.78
JaVale McGee	41	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-10	10	15.2	17.7	-2.42	17.5	15.7	1.76
Nick Young	72	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-9	8	16.6	16.3	0.27	16.8	15.4	1.47
Andray Blatche	66	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	16.6	16.3	0.21	16.4	17.3	-0.92
James Singleton	32	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	0	-10	17.9	15.7	2.22	16.6	16.6	0.00
Mike Miller	72	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	-1	-8	15.9	19.5	-3.57	16.3	18.1	-1.74
Al Thornton	32	30	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.05	-19	9	-28	18.4	15.4	3.02	16.9	16.4	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.27,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.41,0.33,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0	93.2%
IND 102, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.06,0.04,0	93.2%
ORL 121, IND 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.4,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.03,0.01,0	93.1%