NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	113		Excitement	7.2 [356]		MVP	Kevin Martin (HOU): +17.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	103		Comeback	1.6 [366]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): -10.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	16	66%	0.22	2	-0.04	12	100%	0.08
Luis Scola	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	12	63%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.00	0.10	-0.00	9	50%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1	0.01	0.09	0.01	14	57%	0.18	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jermaine Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	46%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	18	50%	0.07	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	50%	0.13	4	-0.12	6	67%	-0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	18	56%	0.08	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	3.3	28.5	15.4	24.0	2.6	37.5	138.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +24.5%

HOU +9.5%

HOU +12.1%

HOU +7.1%

MEM -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	15.3	114.1	104.0	106.0
season	15.0	15.4		106.0	106.8
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.4	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.2	12.1	15.0	16.6	14.4
MEM	15.2	15.2	16.3	12.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	69	68	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.21	18	-8	26	14.8	13.6	1.20	16.0	11.8	4.15
Luis Scola	71	69	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-6	22	14.8	13.4	1.41	15.8	12.1	3.71
Trevor Ariza	69	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-6	22	14.4	14.5	-0.09	15.5	12.5	3.05
Kevin Martin	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-1	12	14.7	13.1	1.63	15.1	12.9	2.18
Charles Hayes	33	34	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	3	4	15.3	14.0	1.30	16.0	14.0	1.96
Jared Jeffries	59	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	5	0	13.9	15.1	-1.25	13.7	16.2	-2.42
Jermaine Taylor	14	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	11	-12	11.3	14.9	-3.63	12.5	15.0	-2.47
Chase Budinger	33	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.00	-3	13	-16	14.4	14.4	-0.02	12.3	15.8	-3.54
Jordan Hill	35	35	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	18	-26	13.6	14.8	-1.20	12.9	15.7	-2.83
Kyle Lowry	33	35	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.01	-11	21	-32	14.2	14.5	-0.24	12.4	16.0	-3.58

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	28	28	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.12	14	-24	38	11.4	16.0	-4.54	15.1	14.1	1.03
Marcus Williams	38	40	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.08	9	-19	28	13.0	15.8	-2.78	14.3	14.5	-0.17
Darrell Arthur	48	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-9	8	13.3	16.0	-2.75	14.4	14.4	-0.08
Zach Randolph	74	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-11	12	15.2	13.1	2.15	15.0	12.4	2.62
Hasheem Thabeet	28	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	2	-14	16.2	14.1	2.13	13.5	14.8	-1.26
Hamed Haddadi	19	18	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-2	-6	16.2	14.3	1.89	14.7	14.3	0.32
O.J. Mayo	57	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	15.6	13.4	2.23	14.7	14.0	0.78
Sam Young	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	13.8	16.0	-2.29	14.3	14.6	-0.33
Rudy Gay	83	83	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.13	-18	8	-26	15.3	11.7	3.58	13.7	17.9	-4.14
Mike Conley	61	59	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.13	-19	9	-28	15.8	13.0	2.78	14.5	14.3	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.24,0.37,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.15,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, DET 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.1%
LAC 93, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.07,0.02,0	92.7%
DET 94, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.04,0	92.4%