NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	88		Excitement	6.6 [463]		MVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): +12.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	1.6 [753]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -10.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	10	71%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	16	51%	0.10	2	-0.10	7	29%	-0.07
Joe Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	18	42%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.06	0.05	13	45%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	17	38%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	20	57%	0.24	2	-0.13	7	57%	-0.04
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.04	0.04	14	69%	0.15	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.05	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	10	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	21%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.6	31.3	18.7	30.1	2.8	38.2	148.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +36.4%

CLE +4.4%

CLE +27.1%

ATL -19.7%

CLE +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.3	96.7	102.2	106.0
season	16.0	16.1		109.4	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.8		103.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.1	15.0	16.6	14.1	15.9
CLE	14.8	17.0	16.1	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	27	28	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.09	8	-13	21	14.6	16.4	-1.84	16.7	15.3	1.43
Zaza Pachulia	21	23	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.06	4	-9	13	14.6	16.3	-1.65	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Joe Smith	18	18	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.04	3	-8	11	15.4	16.0	-0.56	17.2	15.4	1.76
Mike Bibby	43	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-5	5	16.2	15.6	0.65	14.5	16.8	-2.29
Jamal Crawford	63	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-8	11	14.9	18.1	-3.25	16.3	14.6	1.71
Josh Smith	74	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.38	-8	3	-11	16.0	15.6	0.37	15.4	17.2	-1.76
Marvin Williams	71	70	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.20	-17	12	-29	16.8	12.5	4.28	15.6	16.4	-0.87
Al Horford	69	68	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.43	-9	4	-13	16.3	14.5	1.77	15.9	15.3	0.61
Joe Johnson	69	69	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.44	-9	4	-13	16.1	15.1	0.99	15.8	15.5	0.34

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	73	72	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.41	11	-6	17	15.1	18.4	-3.35	16.4	14.1	2.26
JJ Hickson	56	58	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-4	13	15.0	16.9	-1.92	16.5	14.9	1.59
Mo Williams	75	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-4	13	15.7	16.2	-0.60	15.9	15.8	0.11
Delonte West	51	49	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.36	0	5	-5	15.7	15.8	-0.12	15.1	16.9	-1.80
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	49	48	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	2	1	17.9	13.2	4.72	15.0	16.9	-1.88
Anthony Parker	42	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	1	3	16.0	15.5	0.49	17.1	14.8	2.28
Antawn Jamison	64	66	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	2	1	16.5	14.1	2.34	16.4	14.6	1.78
Jamario Moon	10	9	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	9	-13	6.0	17.0	-10.96	13.1	16.2	-3.08
Jawad Williams	9	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	9	-13	19.4	15.4	4.09	14.0	16.1	-2.07
Leon Powe	26	25	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.06	-6	11	-17	15.8	15.7	0.12	14.7	16.3	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.86,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, NOH 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.81,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
LAC 91, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.89,1,1,1	92.9%
LAL 105, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.65,0.73,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	92.6%