NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	119		Excitement	11.0 [29]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): +39.1%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	32.3 [22]		LVP	Kendrick Perkins (BOS): -22.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39	0.17	0.20	-0.02	17	75%	0.52	3	-0.13	6	100%	0.04
Chase Budinger	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.11,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.20	0.10	0.02	14	86%	0.37	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	11	58%	0.21	4	-0.16	9	89%	-0.00
Jordan Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jermaine Taylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.18,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	22	54%	0.19	6	-0.24	6	83%	0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	5	20%	-0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	-0.01	0.00	14	71%	0.18	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.04
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.01	18	57%	0.22	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.00	8	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	10	48%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.06,0	0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.01	12	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.10
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.23	-0.23	0.01	-0.23	0.00	10	65%	0.11	4	-0.34	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	31.3	16.7	28.2	2.6	40.2	0.8	15.3	162.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +74.9%

BOS -9.2%

BOS -6.9%

BOS -24.9%

HOU +16.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	15.3	15.3	117.8	112.9	106.0
season	15.0	15.5		106.0	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		102.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	17.2	17.1	16.6	15.0	14.1	16.2
BOS	17.1	14.9	15.4	13.8	16.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	51	51	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.36	13	-8	21	15.7	16.7	-1.03	15.5	15.1	0.33
Kyle Lowry	81	81	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.21	12	-7	19	15.9	17.4	-1.52	15.3	15.5	-0.24
Chase Budinger	86	87	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	-3	11	15.8	18.5	-2.77	15.4	14.4	1.02
Luis Scola	98	96	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	0	5	16.1	19.3	-3.25	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Aaron Brooks	91	90	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	3	-1	16.0	18.0	-2.02	15.2	16.3	-1.08
Hilton Armstrong	10	12	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	2	1	18.9	15.9	3.02	17.2	15.1	2.11
Jermaine Taylor	30	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	9	-13	17.6	15.6	2.02	15.8	15.1	0.67
Michael Harris	16	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	8	-11	17.6	15.9	1.64	14.0	15.5	-1.53
Charles Hayes	42	42	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.03	-11	16	-27	16.7	15.8	0.88	14.8	15.7	-0.93

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	17	17	0.36	-0.86	1.21	0.18	6	-11	17	14.7	15.4	-0.72	17.2	16.0	1.27
Ray Allen	28	30	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.01	10	-15	25	15.9	15.1	0.86	17.9	15.5	2.40
Rasheed Wallace	37	36	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.25	-1	-4	3	14.8	15.6	-0.83	16.6	16.0	0.59
Marquis Daniels	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	1	-7	15.1	15.3	-0.23	18.3	15.9	2.35
Nate Robinson	16	15	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.10	-13	8	-21	17.7	14.8	2.90	16.1	16.2	-0.05
Glen Davis	19	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	9	-23	18.2	14.6	3.58	16.2	16.2	-0.03
Kendrick Perkins	62	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-3	1	16.0	14.3	1.67	16.0	16.4	-0.36
Michael Finley	27	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-2	-1	13.3	16.0	-2.69	17.0	15.9	1.07
Rajon Rondo	93	93	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	15.2	16.6	-1.43	15.9	19.4	-3.47
Tony Allen	57	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-3	1	14.5	16.4	-1.95	15.4	17.1	-1.63
Kevin Garnett	64	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.64	3	-8	11	14.7	16.3	-1.61	16.1	16.3	-0.19
Paul Pierce	75	75	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.60	-3	-2	-1	15.7	14.2	1.55	15.6	17.9	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.61,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.46,0.62,0.84,0.69,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 114, CHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.45,0.57,0.08,0	87.1%
SAS 96, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.77,0.73,0	86.6%
POR 94, SAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.59,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.27,0	86.2%