NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	106		Excitement	10.0 [61]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +42.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	102		Comeback	124.0 [12]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -46.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.22,-0.23,-0.22,-0.14,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.42	0.00	0.42	-0.00	23	53%	0.52	4	-0.10	7	100%	0.11
Jason Kidd	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.01	7	86%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.01	24	54%	0.14	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.04	0.01	8	56%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Shawn Marion	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	6	7%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.06	-0.01	18	61%	0.20	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.12
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	16	75%	0.23	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.33,-0.39,-0.34,-0.34,-0.46,-0.33	-0.33	-0.01	-0.32	-0.00	21	46%	-0.30	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.04
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.26,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.46	-0.46	-0.17	-0.33	-0.04	18	31%	-0.34	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.6	2.6	34.2	17.5	24.2	2.6	37.4	1.5	21.4	163.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +110.4%

DAL +6.5%

MEM -56.1%

DAL +7.1%

MEM -17.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.0	16.0	15.3	101.9	94.4	106.0
season	15.2	15.4		107.2	106.8
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	15.1	13.0	14.4	14.4	12.2	14.0
MEM	16.2	14.6	16.9	17.6	13.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	78	81	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.20	27	-23	50	13.8	14.7	-0.97	16.5	14.4	2.02
Rodrigue Beaubois	45	50	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-10	24	13.7	14.3	-0.59	15.4	16.4	-0.97
Brendan Haywood	63	65	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-1	6	13.7	14.4	-0.68	16.5	15.1	1.45
Jason Kidd	82	85	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.47	2	2	0	13.8	14.9	-1.10	16.4	14.2	2.22
Dirk Nowitzki	92	94	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	3	-2	14.1	13.0	1.13	15.6	18.1	-2.42
Erick Dampier	33	35	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	-1	6	13.1	14.4	-1.33	15.0	16.4	-1.47
Eduardo Najera	20	22	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.12	-3	7	-10	15.7	13.6	2.17	17.2	15.7	1.53
Caron Butler	55	55	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.05	-13	17	-30	13.7	14.3	-0.66	15.7	16.3	-0.63
Shawn Marion	52	53	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.18	-18	22	-40	15.3	12.7	2.69	15.2	16.7	-1.41

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	17	16	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.20	1	-5	6	14.6	16.2	-1.63	13.3	14.1	-0.81
Marc Gasol	49	46	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.06	9	-13	22	15.3	16.5	-1.28	13.7	14.3	-0.58
Marcus Williams	27	27	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.18	-5	1	-6	14.0	16.6	-2.67	14.9	13.7	1.25
Sam Young	25	25	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-5	6	15.3	16.2	-0.89	14.2	13.9	0.26
Darrell Arthur	32	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	4	-12	15.1	16.3	-1.24	12.8	14.5	-1.76
O.J. Mayo	95	91	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-3	2	16.2	14.2	1.97	14.3	12.1	2.20
Zach Randolph	81	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.50	2	-6	8	16.2	15.2	1.04	14.1	13.7	0.39
Mike Conley	86	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.57	3	-7	10	16.5	13.8	2.75	13.7	15.0	-1.33
Hasheem Thabeet	37	38	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.28	-12	8	-20	17.7	15.1	2.65	15.5	13.1	2.36
Rudy Gay	91	87	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.45	-10	6	-16	16.0	15.9	0.03	13.6	15.9	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.86,0.73,0.54,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 112, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.97,1,1,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.41,0	89.8%
CLE 126, SAC 123	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.86,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.1,0.05,0.07,0	89.2%
SAC 116, NOP 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.55,0.64,0.51,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.52,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.16,0.16,0.03,0	89.0%