NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	94		Excitement	9.4 [82]		MVP	Chase Budinger (HOU): +53.4%
Houston Rockets	98		Comeback	5.7 [340]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): -28.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.11	0.00	9	59%	0.21	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0.1,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.04
Cartier Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.12,-0.01	0.10	-0.11	0.01	23	57%	0.06	2	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	15	39%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
James Singleton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	10	55%	-0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Nick Young	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.53	0.53	0.19	0.33	-0.01	13	75%	0.53	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.11	0.01	10	73%	0.22	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	61%	0.29	3	-0.26	6	100%	0.05
Michael Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	3	57%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Jermaine Taylor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	13	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	7	11%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.16	-0.13	-0.01	20	27%	-0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	28.5	15.6	27.1	1.8	40.2	137.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +74.5%

WAS -22.4%

WAS -8.2%

HOU +6.2%

WAS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	HOU	NBA	WAS	HOU	NBA
this game	16.2	14.9	15.3	101.1	106.5	106.0
season	15.7	15.0		102.6	106.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		106.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.2	16.1	15.7	19.0	16.2
HOU	15.2	15.2	17.7	11.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	28	26	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.08	1	-5	6	16.3	16.2	0.12	12.9	15.7	-2.80
Cartier Martin	9	9	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-6	8	19.9	15.8	4.04	17.7	14.6	3.08
Shaun Livingston	51	50	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.07	0	-4	4	15.0	17.8	-2.82	16.5	13.0	3.44
Quinton Ross	52	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-5	6	16.2	16.2	0.03	16.3	13.2	3.06
Fabricio Oberto	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-1	-2	15.5	16.6	-1.08	15.4	14.6	0.80
James Singleton	49	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-7	10	16.0	16.5	-0.41	15.1	14.6	0.51
Nick Young	47	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	2	-8	16.4	16.1	0.30	13.1	16.7	-3.56
Mike Miller	78	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	1	-6	15.7	18.9	-3.22	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Earl Boykins	42	42	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	0	-4	17.8	15.0	2.82	13.0	16.5	-3.44
Andray Blatche	78	76	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.40	-9	5	-14	16.6	14.3	2.35	15.2	13.4	1.84

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	75	75	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.50	9	-5	14	15.0	14.3	0.73	16.1	16.8	-0.74
Luis Scola	79	80	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.44	6	-2	8	14.9	14.6	0.32	16.1	17.3	-1.25
Charles Hayes	49	52	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.55	1	3	-2	14.3	15.5	-1.21	16.9	15.4	1.43
Kyle Lowry	57	56	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-3	10	14.6	15.4	-0.77	17.1	14.9	2.23
Chase Budinger	50	51	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	3	-2	14.1	15.8	-1.69	17.1	15.1	1.99
Trevor Ariza	53	54	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	2	0	15.6	14.0	1.59	15.4	17.3	-1.89
Jordan Hill	38	37	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.11	2	2	0	15.8	14.2	1.62	15.6	16.7	-1.07
Michael Harris	11	10	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	8	-12	15.0	14.9	0.12	16.9	16.2	0.74
Jermaine Taylor	48	50	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	8	-12	14.8	15.0	-0.16	15.4	17.3	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.37,0.43,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.55,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.58,1	92.4%
POR 93, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.58,1	91.9%
CHI 105, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.58,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.73,1	91.8%