NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	4.8 [837]		MVP	James Jones (MIA): +17.7%
Miami Heat	104		Comeback	1.0 [1154]		LVP	Elton Brand (PHI): -11.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Carney	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	12	52%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	67%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.04	14	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	15	43%	0.02	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	9	38%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	10	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.04	-0.01	7	82%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.03	0.05	25	62%	0.18	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	9	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.03	10	59%	0.10	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	38%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.3	27.4	21.0	29.1	2.5	33.6	143.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +42.8%

MIA +0.4%

MIA +2.6%

MIA +3.3%

MIA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.5	15.3	98.9	110.6	106.0
season	15.1	16.2		104.2	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.8		102.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.4	17.5	13.4	15.8	15.4
MIA	14.0	15.2	15.4	17.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	19	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-10	7	14.2	15.8	-1.62	13.4	16.1	-2.70
Rodney Carney	21	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-12	11	18.5	14.5	3.93	15.3	15.6	-0.27
Jason Smith	25	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-6	-1	15.5	15.4	0.05	14.8	15.8	-0.93
Thaddeus Young	62	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-14	15	15.8	14.7	1.11	15.4	15.8	-0.43
Andre Iguodala	82	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-5	-3	14.8	20.5	-5.67	15.4	16.8	-1.39
Lou Williams	50	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-7	1	17.0	13.5	3.49	15.8	15.1	0.68
Elton Brand	56	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-10	7	15.4	15.5	-0.04	16.4	14.2	2.11
Samuel Dalembert	39	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	3	-19	15.4	15.5	-0.11	16.1	15.1	0.99
Jason Kapono	46	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.23	-4	-9	5	14.8	16.1	-1.33	16.3	14.7	1.60
Jrue Holiday	60	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.09	-18	5	-23	14.5	17.2	-2.77	14.9	16.8	-1.91

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	72	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.03	24	-11	35	15.6	15.3	0.27	16.4	12.1	4.28
Quentin Richardson	66	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	-2	17	14.6	17.7	-3.07	14.7	17.3	-2.67
Dwyane Wade	74	72	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.05	13	0	13	14.7	18.7	-4.04	14.8	17.8	-3.07
Jermaine O'Neal	41	41	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	1	11	15.8	15.3	0.46	15.4	15.5	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	73	71	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	11	-9	15.6	15.3	0.30	15.8	14.1	1.69
Jamaal Magloire	42	42	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	8	-3	15.6	15.4	0.18	16.9	14.2	2.64
Joel Anthony	26	26	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	7	-1	16.8	15.0	1.83	13.5	16.2	-2.71
James Jones	34	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	14	-15	15.7	15.4	0.29	15.9	15.2	0.69
Mario Chalmers	40	39	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.33	-11	24	-35	17.2	14.2	3.01	15.3	15.5	-0.19
Daequan Cook	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	10.5	15.6	-5.13	7.0	15.6	-8.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.94,1,1	94.8%
PHI 79, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.82,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
UTA 91, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%