NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	91		Excitement	5.7 [733]		MVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): +11.7%
Orlando Magic	101		Comeback	1.2 [1201]		LVP	Taurean Prince (ATL): -17.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	8	72%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	18	51%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Adams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	31%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	21%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	11	41%	-0.03	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.02	16	65%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	20	57%	0.13	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	10	52%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	0.05	12	42%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	7	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	8	35%	-0.02	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	22.7	14.6	25.2	2.3	30.6	123.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +4.7%

ORL +19.5%

ORL +10.1%

ORL +15.7%

ATL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	13.2	13.9	14.3	85.8	95.3	109.3
season	13.6	14.9		107.2	107.2
opponent	14.3	13.9		107.2	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.7	14.9	12.7	12.7	13.2
ORL	13.0	12.8	15.0	15.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Adams	34	33	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.23	8	-18	26	13.7	13.0	0.65	13.8	14.0	-0.17
Vince Carter	62	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-12	14	12.5	14.3	-1.85	13.5	14.5	-0.92
DeAndre' Bembry	45	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.18	3	-13	16	13.3	13.2	0.17	13.3	14.4	-1.09
Alex Len	54	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.19	2	-12	14	14.0	12.5	1.52	13.3	14.5	-1.19
Kent Bazemore	56	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-10	10	12.5	14.1	-1.56	13.7	14.2	-0.47
John Collins	42	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-4	-2	13.4	13.1	0.28	15.1	13.1	1.97
Taurean Prince	61	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-3	-4	13.0	13.5	-0.52	14.5	13.1	1.44
Kevin Huerter	50	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	6	-22	14.2	12.3	1.90	14.0	13.9	0.12
Dewayne Dedmon	54	55	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	8	-26	13.2	13.2	0.01	14.0	13.8	0.18
Trae Young	72	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.02	-18	8	-26	13.0	13.7	-0.65	14.0	13.8	0.17

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	87	86	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.14	13	-3	16	14.1	13.1	1.07	13.0	14.3	-1.31
Evan Fournier	66	65	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.01	18	-8	26	13.9	14.0	-0.19	13.0	13.6	-0.61
D.J. Augustin	71	70	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	0	10	14.1	13.5	0.58	13.0	13.7	-0.78
Nikola Vucevic	76	76	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	4	2	14.2	13.2	1.07	12.7	14.6	-1.86
Jonathan Isaac	57	58	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	4	2	13.7	14.2	-0.43	13.3	13.1	0.16
Terrence Ross	55	54	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.11	2	8	-6	13.7	14.2	-0.58	13.3	13.2	0.16
Khem Birch	30	30	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	6	-2	13.2	14.2	-1.07	14.6	12.7	1.86
Michael Carter-Williams	35	36	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	10	-10	13.5	14.1	-0.58	13.7	13.0	0.78
Wes Iwundu	53	55	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.29	-9	19	-28	14.2	13.7	0.55	13.7	12.7	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.93,1,1,1	94.8%
ATL 82, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CLE 107, PHI 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,1,1	94.5%