NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	6.7 [449]		MVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): +20.4%
Dallas Mavericks	96		Comeback	7.0 [664]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -28.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	14	66%	0.18	6	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Jarvis Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	12	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.10
Courtney Lee	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	12	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	16	31%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.12	0.01	13	67%	0.26	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	14	56%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	12	59%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	65%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	58%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.19	-0.12	-0.03	16	31%	-0.13	5	-0.15	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	31.2	15.8	29.1	2.4	29.3	134.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +32.2%

DAL +14.6%

NJN -5.2%

DAL +6.7%

DAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DAL	NBA	NJN	DAL	NBA
this game	17.9	14.3	15.3	97.8	106.7	106.0
season	15.9	15.2		98.7	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		104.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.7	18.0	18.7	18.4	17.9
DAL	13.3	16.2	11.3	16.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	21	20	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-15	21	18.1	17.9	0.26	14.3	14.2	0.12
Keyon Dooling	20	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-5	1	17.9	17.9	0.01	12.9	14.7	-1.82
Trenton Hassell	45	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-1	-7	17.7	18.2	-0.56	12.8	15.7	-2.87
Jarvis Hayes	30	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-3	-3	17.8	18.0	-0.27	16.2	13.2	2.96
Devin Harris	69	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	17.9	17.9	-0.01	14.7	12.9	1.82
Terrence Williams	55	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	-3	-3	18.1	17.6	0.48	15.5	12.3	3.22
Kris Humphries	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-2	-5	18.3	17.5	0.77	14.0	14.6	-0.54
Brook Lopez	68	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	0	-9	17.8	18.4	-0.57	13.8	16.1	-2.28
Courtney Lee	86	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	-3	-3	17.9	19.3	-1.44	14.0	21.0	-6.98

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	85	83	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.34	11	-2	13	14.0	19.4	-5.45	18.1	15.7	2.44
Shawn Marion	74	74	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	1	7	13.9	15.9	-2.05	18.0	17.7	0.33
Brendan Haywood	46	43	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-2	13	14.0	14.5	-0.43	17.9	18.0	-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	74	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	3	3	14.8	11.7	3.12	18.3	16.3	1.99
DeShawn Stevenson	27	26	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	7	-5	15.7	13.6	2.12	17.2	18.3	-1.12
Caron Butler	56	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	9	-9	15.2	12.6	2.63	18.3	17.3	1.02
Eduardo Najera	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	8	-7	13.0	14.9	-1.95	17.6	18.1	-0.55
Rodrigue Beaubois	46	48	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	6	-3	14.5	14.0	0.59	18.0	17.8	0.21
Erick Dampier	10	10	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	6	-3	9.5	14.8	-5.35	14.2	18.4	-4.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.9,0.87,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 116, NOP 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.77,1,1	92.9%
CLE 96, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.62,0.9,0.98,1,1	91.6%
UTA 86, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.52,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.74,0.65,0.54,0.47,0.64,0.68,0.96,1	91.3%