NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	84		Excitement	6.9 [409]		MVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): +18.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	86		Comeback	3.2 [394]		LVP	Kendrick Perkins (BOS): -19.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	87%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	5	64%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.06	0.02	10	69%	0.25	4	-0.16	9	89%	0.02
Michael Finley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	13	54%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	13	39%	-0.04	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.04
Kendrick Perkins	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	0.01	9	30%	-0.10	2	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	18	61%	0.23	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	6	69%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.01	15	53%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	10	57%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	15	63%	0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	27.7	15.6	25.6	2.7	35.2	131.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +33.6%

BOS -10.0%

MIL +17.0%

MIL +6.4%

MIL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	17.0	15.3	95.5	98.9	106.0
season	15.5	15.5		105.7	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		101.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.3	14.2	16.5	17.9	15.9
MIL	16.7	17.1	15.6	19.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	35	34	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.01	11	-13	24	16.6	15.5	1.15	16.0	17.7	-1.66
Marquis Daniels	34	33	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-6	10	17.7	14.8	2.93	15.3	18.1	-2.80
Michael Finley	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-2	2	19.6	15.2	4.44	14.8	17.4	-2.65
Nate Robinson	21	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-5	8	18.0	15.3	2.75	14.6	17.7	-3.07
Glen Davis	32	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-2	2	17.7	14.9	2.79	14.7	18.3	-3.63
Ray Allen	63	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-3	4	15.0	18.2	-3.26	17.9	14.8	3.05
Kevin Garnett	56	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.40	-2	0	-2	14.9	17.7	-2.79	18.3	14.7	3.63
Rajon Rondo	67	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.46	-5	3	-8	15.3	18.0	-2.75	17.7	14.6	3.07
Paul Pierce	65	65	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.35	-9	7	-16	15.1	18.3	-3.24	17.5	15.5	2.08
Kendrick Perkins	53	53	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.30	-13	11	-24	15.5	16.6	-1.15	17.7	16.0	1.66

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	75	75	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.41	10	-8	18	17.1	16.5	0.59	16.2	14.3	1.88
John Salmons	78	80	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-6	14	17.3	14.8	2.49	15.6	18.5	-2.85
Brandon Jennings	73	74	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	-7	16	17.3	15.4	1.97	15.9	16.0	-0.11
Andrew Bogut	76	77	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	1	0	17.4	14.5	2.93	15.4	19.2	-3.74
Ersan Ilyasova	29	30	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.52	-3	5	-8	18.0	16.5	1.53	15.5	16.1	-0.57
Luc Mbah a Moute	48	47	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	-4	10	16.7	17.4	-0.63	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Royal Ivey	3	3	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	-1	4	19.0	16.9	2.06	12.3	16.0	-3.70
Kurt Thomas	11	11	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.02	1	1	0	14.5	17.4	-2.93	19.2	15.4	3.74
Luke Ridnour	11	11	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	12	-22	14.4	17.4	-3.03	17.0	15.8	1.25
Charlie Bell	31	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.17	-15	17	-32	15.6	17.8	-2.12	16.9	15.3	1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.9,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, UTA 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.61,0.78,0.84,0.96,1	92.6%
WAS 84, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.37,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.91,0.92,1	91.9%
POR 60, NJN 64	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.54,0.33,0.53,0.89,0.91,0.98,1	91.9%