NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	7.4 [376]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +24.9%
Utah Jazz	115		Comeback	4.4 [498]		LVP	Caron Butler (LAL): -7.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.25	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.25	0.23	0.02	0.00	26	74%	0.34	3	-0.09	6	33%	-0.09
Jumaine Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.08	-0.00	11	74%	0.11	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.01	10	61%	0.05	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.05
Slava Medvedenko	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	2	75%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.06
Luke Walton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Cook	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	11	46%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.08	0.04	8	96%	0.28	3	-0.10	12	92%	0.06
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.10	0.01	12	85%	0.34	5	-0.18	3	100%	0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.00	8	82%	0.16	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Keith McLeod	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	21	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	4	100%	0.08	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.6	28.0	14.8	24.2	2.6	37.0	133.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +36.7%

UTA +29.2%

UTA +2.4%

LAL -17.4%

LAL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.3	17.0	15.5	123.0	133.7	104.0
season	15.7	16.7		105.8	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.3		106.7	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.0	14.6	16.2	16.4	16.3
UTA	17.1	17.5	16.5	17.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	13	13	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-10	12	15.5	16.4	-0.87	15.2	17.4	-2.20
Chris Mihm	27	28	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-9	10	16.7	16.1	0.57	17.4	16.8	0.60
Tierre Brown	17	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-8	8	16.5	16.2	0.32	16.0	17.3	-1.29
Luke Walton	18	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-7	6	15.9	16.4	-0.49	16.9	17.0	-0.10
Slava Medvedenko	27	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	1	-10	19.0	15.0	4.00	17.5	16.8	0.70
Caron Butler	70	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-9	10	15.6	19.1	-3.53	17.4	15.4	2.03
Jumaine Jones	54	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	15.4	17.7	-2.29	17.0	17.1	-0.11
Chucky Atkins	70	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	0	-8	16.2	16.5	-0.32	17.3	16.0	1.29
Brian Grant	60	58	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	1	-10	16.1	16.7	-0.57	16.8	17.4	-0.60
Kobe Bryant	79	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.24	-11	3	-14	16.7	11.6	5.12	16.9	18.2	-1.34

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	64	66	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.38	17	-9	26	17.0	17.0	-0.03	17.2	13.2	4.00
Gordan Giricek	58	60	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.24	20	-12	32	17.4	16.3	1.09	17.9	12.7	5.23
Mehmet Okur	69	70	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.26	10	-2	12	17.0	17.0	0.03	16.7	14.5	2.17
Andrei Kirilenko	76	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	3	2	17.0	17.3	-0.31	15.8	18.8	-3.02
Keith McLeod	52	52	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	1	6	17.3	16.6	0.67	16.4	16.1	0.37
Ben Handlogten	18	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	4	0	16.6	17.1	-0.59	18.1	15.6	2.49
Howard Eisley	34	35	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	7	-6	16.6	17.3	-0.67	16.1	16.4	-0.37
Kris Humphries	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	10	-12	20.6	16.7	3.86	11.9	16.7	-4.81
Kirk Snyder	28	26	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	20	-32	16.3	17.4	-1.09	12.7	17.8	-5.17
Curtis Borchardt	24	23	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.09	-10	18	-28	16.5	17.2	-0.78	13.1	17.4	-4.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.61,0.78,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 84, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.9,0.91,0.91,1	92.6%
POR 60, NJN 64	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.54,0.33,0.53,0.89,0.91,0.98,1	92.5%
DEN 72, MEM 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.46,0.78,0.97,1,1	91.6%