NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	83		Excitement	7.0 [388]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +82.7%
Boston Celtics	86		Comeback	45.3 [73]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): -17.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.01	3	81%	0.18	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.04
Al Thornton	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	17	62%	0.15	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Fabricio Oberto	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	-0.00	20	53%	0.02	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.14	-0.15	-0.00	-0.01	14	29%	-0.06	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.42,0.83	0.83	0.22	0.61	0.00	15	81%	0.83	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	7	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.02	0.03	11	61%	0.08	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	12	56%	0.02	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.06
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	19%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	7	33%	-0.08	4	-0.10	10	80%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.0	31.1	19.4	29.2	2.8	42.2	156.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +48.8%

WAS -8.6%

BOS +11.9%

BOS +2.7%

WAS -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	17.5	14.5	15.3	92.2	95.6	106.0
season	15.7	15.5		102.6	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		102.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.4	18.3	16.2	19.1	17.5
BOS	14.9	16.0	15.1	12.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	21	20	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.15	6	-9	15	16.2	17.9	-1.68	15.0	14.4	0.68
James Singleton	38	39	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-5	7	17.2	17.7	-0.42	15.9	13.4	2.52
Fabricio Oberto	1	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-3	3	24.0	17.4	6.60	7.0	14.6	-7.61
Nick Young	3	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	1	-5	27.0	17.1	9.85	21.5	14.2	7.30
Randy Foye	68	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.48	7	-10	17	17.0	19.0	-2.07	14.3	15.3	-1.06
Earl Boykins	23	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	7	-17	18.4	17.1	1.29	15.3	14.3	1.06
JaVale McGee	61	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-1	-1	17.1	18.3	-1.18	13.3	17.4	-4.12
Al Thornton	81	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.50	-1	-2	1	17.2	20.2	-3.05	14.3	16.3	-2.01
Andray Blatche	79	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	2	-7	18.0	14.0	3.96	14.9	12.2	2.68
Mike Miller	75	75	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.46	-8	5	-13	17.8	15.9	1.85	14.2	16.0	-1.77

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	67	67	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.38	18	-15	33	13.9	16.5	-2.63	17.4	17.6	-0.18
Kendrick Perkins	58	57	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.47	9	-6	15	14.2	15.1	-0.84	17.9	16.7	1.28
Kevin Garnett	60	60	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.49	8	-5	13	13.8	16.0	-2.17	17.5	17.4	0.12
Paul Pierce	55	55	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.51	7	-4	11	14.0	15.4	-1.44	17.1	18.0	-0.90
Rajon Rondo	71	71	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.33	11	-8	19	13.6	17.9	-4.34	17.5	17.4	0.14
Tony Allen	4	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	4	-5	14.7	14.5	0.24	15.8	17.6	-1.78
Brian Scalabrine	6	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	16.5	14.4	2.12	15.7	17.6	-1.91
Glen Davis	29	29	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	8	-13	16.3	13.7	2.69	18.0	17.2	0.77
Rasheed Wallace	32	32	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.03	-7	10	-17	15.1	14.2	0.84	17.0	17.7	-0.69
Marquis Daniels	43	41	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.05	-10	13	-23	16.0	13.1	2.87	18.0	17.0	1.05
Nate Robinson	25	26	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.04	-12	15	-27	16.7	13.7	2.99	17.0	17.7	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.09,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 86, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.23,0.27,1	92.8%
MEM 95, OKC 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.42,1	92.8%
MEM 97, MIA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.26,1	92.1%