inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 90 Excitement3.4 [1098] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +16.7%
Denver Nuggets 119 Comeback1.1 [1099] LVPKenyon Martin (DEN): -9.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.080.000.07870%0.043-0.021191%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00558%0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Eric Maynor0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.090.00-0.09520%0.0120.0000%0.00
Kevin Ollie0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05436%0.002-0.00367%-0.00
Antonio Anderson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03333%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.021451%0.064-0.07978%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.011547%-0.0220.00250%0.00
Nick Collison-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jeff Green-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01642%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.110.00-0.061139%0.034-0.08683%0.01
Nenad Krstic-0.060,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.02725%-0.041-0.022100%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.110.02-0.031965%0.203-0.04887%0.02
Nene0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.140.010.011369%0.1300.00367%-0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.120.000.083100%0.061-0.027100%0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.150.000.128100%0.032-0.002100%-0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.00-0.05450%0.0220.0000%0.00
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02367%0.0020.0000%0.00
Renaldo Balkman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.07425%0.0020.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.04952%0.034-0.05786%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01743%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.01-0.021227%-0.071-0.03250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.12.031.216.325.42.429.6136.0
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +27.5%
DEN +1.2%
DEN +5.6%
DEN +14.6%
DEN +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDENNBAOKCDENNBA
this game14.713.115.387.4114.4106.0
season15.014.4106.2110.3
opponent15.515.5106.4103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC15.116.513.814.014.7
DEN13.714.212.412.213.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Ollie20200.00-0.500.50-0.3211-405112.515.3-2.7912.213.3-1.04
Etan Thomas3333-0.01-0.490.490.05-2-272513.815.2-1.3712.813.2-0.48
Antonio Anderson3333-0.01-0.490.490.05-2-272513.815.2-1.3712.813.2-0.48
Nick Collison1716-0.14-0.360.230.01-5-241915.614.61.0812.713.1-0.40
James Harden6363-0.14-0.360.230.13-9-201114.814.60.1613.013.2-0.14
Eric Maynor3030-0.19-0.310.130.46-22-7-1516.214.12.1013.313.00.25
Serge Ibaka5856-0.23-0.270.040.12-12-17515.314.01.3713.212.90.32
Thabo Sefolosha4952-0.29-0.21-0.080.24-18-11-714.514.9-0.4113.412.80.56
Russell Westbrook5354-0.31-0.19-0.130.21-18-11-714.814.70.0113.312.90.44
Nenad Krstic5355-0.36-0.14-0.210.29-22-7-1515.014.40.6013.412.80.63
Kevin Durant5657-0.38-0.12-0.250.24-21-8-1314.814.70.1213.113.10.00
Jeff Green5051-0.46-0.04-0.420.27-25-4-2114.714.8-0.0112.913.2-0.32

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carmelo Anthony69690.490.010.47-0.3930-13113.612.21.3814.714.8-0.07
Kenyon Martin66670.400.100.30-0.332542113.013.2-0.2014.415.4-0.94
Nene56530.400.100.29-0.192091113.212.90.3514.814.70.13
Chauncey Billups60570.300.200.10-0.231811713.212.90.3914.614.9-0.26
J.R. Smith49490.260.240.02-0.452451913.013.1-0.0916.013.62.43
Arron Afflalo57570.260.240.01-0.422361713.013.2-0.1914.914.50.45
Chris Andersen38390.200.30-0.10-0.472361714.012.51.4816.913.43.50
Anthony Carter44460.200.30-0.10-0.121118-712.913.2-0.3914.914.60.26
Malik Allen28270.000.50-0.50-0.03128-2712.213.4-1.1414.015.0-1.06
Joey Graham20200.000.50-0.500.32-1140-5112.213.3-1.0412.515.3-2.79
Johan Petro19180.000.50-0.500.23-837-4511.813.4-1.5912.515.2-2.72
Renaldo Balkman14130.000.50-0.500.32-1140-5113.113.1-0.0212.315.1-2.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 86, BOS 1180.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
WAS 78, SAS 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
DEN 114, LAL 1320.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%