NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	104		Excitement	9.2 [94]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +25.3%
New Orleans Hornets	100		Comeback	9.7 [93]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): -18.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25	0.11	0.16	0.01	18	63%	0.34	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.07
Zach Randolph	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,0.12,0.18	0.06	0.12	0.01	14	61%	0.29	2	-0.11	10	80%	0.03
Marc Gasol	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	9	52%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.09
Darrell Arthur	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hamed Haddadi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Sam Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Rudy Gay	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	11	54%	0.00	5	-0.15	6	83%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19	-0.02	-0.15	0.01	13	39%	-0.15	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.07

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.11	-0.03	16	65%	0.34	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.07
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	12	60%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	4	78%	0.11	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	18	45%	0.04	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	15	53%	0.06	4	-0.19	2	100%	0.03
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.27,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	5	40%	0.09	3	-0.24	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	29.2	15.8	26.3	3.3	46.8	149.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH -3.4%

NOH -17.1%

MEM +33.5%

MEM +39.6%

NOH -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOH	NBA	MEM	NOH	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	15.3	106.1	102.0	106.0
season	15.4	15.5		106.8	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.0		108.3	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.6	14.5	16.0	13.7	14.7
NOH	14.2	15.5	15.3	14.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	78	78	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.50	6	-2	8	14.2	16.3	-2.07	14.0	17.5	-3.54
Mike Conley	74	72	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.40	9	-5	14	14.3	15.8	-1.51	14.5	15.5	-1.04
Marc Gasol	72	71	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	-2	8	15.2	13.1	2.09	15.1	13.7	1.42
Rudy Gay	86	86	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.36	5	-1	6	14.7	14.4	0.27	14.9	13.3	1.60
Zach Randolph	86	87	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	1	2	14.4	16.4	-2.01	14.5	16.5	-1.94
Marcus Williams	20	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	5	-6	13.3	15.0	-1.70	13.1	15.2	-2.06
Darrell Arthur	12	11	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	3	-2	16.4	14.4	2.01	16.5	14.5	1.94
Hamed Haddadi	24	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	6	-8	13.9	14.9	-0.98	14.6	14.8	-0.13
Sam Young	38	38	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.14	-7	11	-18	16.3	13.6	2.67	16.6	13.6	2.97

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	40	40	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.10	7	-11	18	15.4	14.3	1.08	14.8	14.5	0.29
Julian Wright	13	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-2	0	13.7	14.9	-1.20	16.1	14.5	1.63
Emeka Okafor	28	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	0	-4	15.5	14.4	1.02	15.7	14.2	1.47
Morris Peterson	33	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	3	-10	15.1	14.6	0.54	15.1	14.4	0.71
Marcus Thornton	65	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.41	6	-10	16	14.8	14.6	0.19	14.8	14.4	0.39
Peja Stojakovic	78	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-3	2	14.5	15.6	-1.09	14.5	15.2	-0.69
David West	88	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	0	-4	14.5	16.7	-2.19	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Darren Collison	93	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	14.6	16.6	-1.97	14.7	13.4	1.32
James Posey	30	29	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.50	-7	3	-10	13.2	15.4	-2.21	13.4	15.2	-1.81
Darius Songaila	28	30	-0.81	0.30	-1.11	-0.48	-11	7	-18	16.1	14.2	1.92	13.8	15.0	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.52,0.68,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 81, GSW 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.82,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.28,0	91.6%
MIN 99, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.09,0	91.5%
CHA 101, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.81,0.66,0.33,0.55,0.57,0.42,0	90.9%