NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	89		Excitement	6.3 [537]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +16.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	84		Comeback	4.4 [169]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -16.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.12	0.00	17	56%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Caron Butler	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.02	16	65%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	23	55%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	9	23%	-0.08	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.01	10	65%	0.10	3	-0.13	3	67%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	16	47%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	14	59%	0.05	6	-0.14	6	100%	0.04
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	14	33%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.0	32.0	15.5	22.4	2.7	33.2	135.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +44.3%

CHA -9.2%

CHA -7.0%

DAL +29.4%

CHA -7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHA	NBA	DAL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.3	94.7	91.3	106.0
season	15.2	16.2		107.2	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.7	16.3	15.5	15.0	15.1
CHA	14.5	16.4	17.3	15.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	81	83	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.42	5	0	5	15.2	14.4	0.78	15.9	16.6	-0.70
Brendan Haywood	66	64	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	1	3	15.3	14.4	0.94	16.0	15.7	0.25
Jason Terry	66	65	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	-4	13	14.9	15.5	-0.59	15.9	16.0	-0.11
Jason Kidd	74	73	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.43	3	2	1	15.2	14.3	0.89	15.8	16.6	-0.83
Shawn Marion	67	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	9	-13	14.7	15.9	-1.12	15.7	16.4	-0.62
Caron Butler	65	62	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	0	5	15.1	14.9	0.18	16.0	15.7	0.38
Jose Juan Barea	23	21	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.05	2	3	-1	15.3	15.0	0.39	17.1	15.6	1.52
Eduardo Najera	28	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	4	-3	14.4	15.3	-0.94	15.7	16.0	-0.25

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	50	52	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.06	14	-19	33	16.0	15.8	0.21	16.0	13.9	2.12
Stephen Graham	24	23	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.06	0	-5	5	15.2	16.2	-0.91	15.4	14.9	0.45
Derrick Brown	15	14	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	5	-15	15.3	16.1	-0.79	12.9	15.4	-2.58
Raymond Felton	73	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-7	9	15.8	16.4	-0.63	15.4	13.8	1.58
D.J. Augustin	28	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	4	-13	17.8	15.1	2.73	14.0	15.5	-1.47
Boris Diaw	52	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	15.9	15.9	0.04	15.1	14.9	0.22
Gerald Wallace	84	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-3	1	16.2	13.1	3.07	15.2	13.2	2.02
Tyrus Thomas	58	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	3	-11	15.2	17.1	-1.85	14.7	15.6	-0.81
Stephen Jackson	76	80	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.37	-8	3	-11	15.8	16.3	-0.47	14.7	16.8	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.35,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 115, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.4,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.07,0.04,0	93.0%
NYK 75, CLE 65	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.19,0.03,0.1,0.02,0	92.3%
NYK 101, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.01,0,0,0,0	91.5%