NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	5.7 [661]		MVP	David West (NOH): +17.6%
New Orleans Hornets	102		Comeback	1.2 [805]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (HOU): -14.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	-0.00	0.04	11	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Andersen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	11	46%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Aaron Brooks	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	15	44%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Garrett Temple	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	10	25%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.13	-0.03	18	55%	0.25	4	-0.08	13	85%	0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	13	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	17	63%	0.11	5	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	16	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.5	30.4	15.7	26.1	2.5	34.5	135.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +17.6%

NOH +22.7%

HOU -2.2%

NOH +9.4%

NOH +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NOH	NBA	HOU	NOH	NBA
this game	13.5	14.6	15.3	91.3	100.0	106.0
season	15.0	15.5		106.0	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.1		108.3	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.0	12.1	15.8	11.3	13.5
NOH	14.4	16.2	11.8	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Andersen	29	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-7	6	13.2	13.7	-0.50	14.2	14.7	-0.52
Charles Hayes	47	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	15.1	12.2	2.81	14.0	15.0	-1.06
Shane Battier	53	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-7	6	14.5	12.5	2.01	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Garrett Temple	25	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	13.9	13.4	0.51	16.1	14.1	2.04
Luis Scola	47	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-3	-2	16.0	11.5	4.46	14.7	14.4	0.27
Trevor Ariza	63	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-8	8	13.4	13.7	-0.31	15.1	13.7	1.44
Aaron Brooks	78	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-6	4	13.4	13.9	-0.51	14.1	16.1	-2.04
Chase Budinger	50	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-3	-2	12.4	14.6	-2.13	15.1	14.0	1.14
Kevin Martin	63	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	11.8	16.3	-4.56	14.1	15.4	-1.32
Jared Jeffries	60	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	1	-10	12.6	14.8	-2.12	14.7	14.3	0.44

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	65	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-8	24	13.4	16.6	-3.18	14.1	12.4	1.67
Darren Collison	90	89	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-3	14	14.3	16.9	-2.66	14.0	10.5	3.51
David West	94	93	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	1	6	14.3	18.1	-3.86	13.5	13.5	0.04
Morris Peterson	68	69	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	-3	14	13.9	16.0	-2.10	14.0	12.6	1.37
Peja Stojakovic	83	85	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	3	2	14.4	15.2	-0.79	13.8	12.3	1.52
James Posey	52	52	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.24	-1	9	-10	16.0	13.1	2.92	11.7	15.4	-3.72
Marcus Thornton	46	47	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	13	-18	16.8	12.7	4.11	13.0	14.0	-0.98
Julian Wright	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	12	-16	15.7	14.4	1.24	12.3	13.7	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.89,0.76,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 95, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.91,1,1	94.1%
GSW 115, TOR 120	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.99,1	94.0%
NYK 93, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	93.9%