NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	121		Excitement	11.8 [14]		MVP	Eddie House (NYK): +63.2%
New York Knicks	118		Comeback	134.1 [13]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): -30.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.39	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.06,-0.14,-0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.39	0.04	0.38	0.03	25	55%	0.60	5	-0.21	15	93%	0.11
Nick Collison	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.23	0.04	0.20	0.00	9	56%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.11	0.01	9	70%	0.21	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Nenad Krstic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.09	4	-0.11	7	71%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Russell Westbrook	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06	0.06	-0.08	0.03	23	57%	0.06	4	-0.12	8	62%	-0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Eric Maynor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.63	0.63	0.14	0.49	0.00	14	75%	0.72	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.08
David Lee	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.17	0.21	0.03	16	79%	0.44	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.01	-0.00	17	63%	0.22	3	-0.12	7	71%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	6	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	8	28%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	10	25%	-0.13	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.3	-0.30	-0.09	-0.22	-0.01	16	47%	-0.02	5	-0.28	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	30.2	16.4	25.5	2.5	39.4	2.4	20.4	166.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -5.0%

OKC +10.8%

OKC +34.7%

OKC +12.7%

NYK -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NYK	NBA	OKC	NYK	NBA
this game	13.3	15.6	15.3	110.0	107.3	106.0
season	15.0	14.7		106.2	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		109.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	13.9	12.4	13.2	13.3	14.6	13.3
NYK	15.5	17.1	15.0	14.9	15.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	70	68	1.05	-0.55	1.60	0.93	4	-1	5	12.8	14.2	-1.42	14.4	17.5	-3.09
Jeff Green	96	95	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.48	6	-3	9	13.3	13.6	-0.29	16.0	12.7	3.31
Russell Westbrook	97	98	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-5	13	13.3	13.2	0.10	15.8	13.8	1.97
Kevin Durant	96	97	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-2	7	13.5	12.3	1.18	15.6	15.8	-0.29
Nenad Krstic	21	22	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.03	5	-2	7	14.5	13.0	1.49	17.5	15.1	2.44
Serge Ibaka	25	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	3	-3	13.4	13.3	0.16	15.9	15.5	0.36
Nick Collison	65	67	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	7	-11	13.2	13.5	-0.33	14.8	16.8	-2.01
Eric Maynor	22	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	8	-13	11.9	13.7	-1.82	14.3	15.9	-1.55
Thabo Sefolosha	58	58	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.28	-4	7	-11	13.9	12.6	1.33	16.4	14.7	1.78

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	40	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-4	5	17.1	14.7	2.41	14.2	12.8	1.48
Jonathan Bender	29	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.10	2	-5	7	14.1	16.1	-1.97	12.6	13.6	-1.00
David Lee	85	85	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.32	8	-11	19	15.6	15.6	-0.06	14.0	11.0	2.95
Tracy McGrady	66	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	1	-5	16.3	14.6	1.67	12.3	15.0	-2.76
Al Harrington	43	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	2	-7	14.7	16.2	-1.47	12.3	14.0	-1.74
Eddie House	78	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.43	5	-8	13	14.6	18.1	-3.49	13.3	13.5	-0.21
Sergio Rodriguez	55	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	3	-9	14.7	16.5	-1.80	13.2	13.4	-0.13
Danilo Gallinari	77	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	4	-11	16.2	14.1	2.19	13.7	12.5	1.15
Wilson Chandler	77	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.42	-9	6	-15	16.3	13.9	2.36	13.6	12.6	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.28,0.26,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.9,0.92,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.64,0.8,0.95,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.27,0	87.5%
DAL 102, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.52,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.78,0.77,1	87.2%
ORL 83, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.85,0.94,1,1	87.0%