inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 83 Excitement7.2 [419] MVPMike Miller (MEM): +15.8%
Memphis Grizzlies 95 Comeback2.4 [741] LVPHedo Turkoglu (ORL): -15.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Doug Christie0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.040.00654%0.0500.001100%0.01
Tony Battie-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.02-0.01250%0.011-0.01250%-0.02
Kelvin Cato-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00250%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Jameer Nelson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.07-0.031553%0.031-0.05250%-0.02
Grant Hill-0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.01-0.041650%0.074-0.084100%0.02
Pat Garrity-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Steve Francis-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.011153%-0.021-0.031283%0.00
Stacey Augmon-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00150%-0.002-0.062100%0.01
Dwight Howard-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.00443%-0.072-0.05667%-0.04
Hedo Turkoglu-0.150,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.09-0.050.011332%-0.111-0.042100%0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.020.140.01475%0.171-0.01425%-0.04
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.04-0.01762%0.123-0.092100%0.02
Ryan Humphrey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.011055%0.072-0.082100%0.02
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011142%0.031-0.074100%0.02
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01950%-0.011-0.03667%-0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.011146%-0.021-0.032100%0.02
Stromile Swift0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.01-0.030.031651%-0.021-0.03367%0.01
Jason Williams0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.040.03948%-0.042-0.073100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.23.528.315.528.92.835.5137.7
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +26.8%
MEM +6.2%
MEM +20.3%
ORL -6.5%
MEM +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMEMNBAORLMEMNBA
this game14.716.715.591.2103.3104.0
season14.316.4102.9103.7
opponent15.515.5101.9105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL17.613.013.016.014.7
MEM16.015.817.717.416.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pat Garrity880.14-0.640.780.053-151810.515.2-4.6616.516.7-0.24
Stacey Augmon23210.05-0.550.59-0.043-151813.015.3-2.3416.216.9-0.62
Kelvin Cato4143-0.02-0.480.450.07-3-9614.914.60.3317.016.50.49
Hedo Turkoglu5051-0.20-0.300.100.07-9-3-615.414.01.4516.217.3-1.08
Tony Battie5655-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.270-121214.115.7-1.6217.415.81.61
Dwight Howard4346-0.29-0.21-0.090.09-131-1417.012.74.3616.616.8-0.17
Doug Christie4544-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.22-3-9613.615.9-2.3616.317.1-0.85
Jameer Nelson4544-0.520.02-0.54-0.23-10-2-814.714.8-0.0316.117.3-1.20
Grant Hill7476-0.530.03-0.56-0.15-131-1414.914.20.7016.816.40.34
Steve Francis7072-0.540.04-0.58-0.10-153-1815.014.00.9117.214.92.32

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey84820.74-0.240.990.1022-103216.519.5-3.0515.111.23.91
Mike Miller41410.56-0.060.630.241111016.117.2-1.0714.914.60.24
Stromile Swift73720.490.010.470.0515-31816.716.9-0.2215.113.41.68
Earl Watson46450.470.030.440.2193616.816.60.2214.814.70.10
Shane Battier65630.410.090.320.061201217.215.61.6414.515.3-0.78
Lorenzen Wright56550.130.37-0.24-0.0566016.916.50.3614.615.0-0.42
Jason Williams46460.030.47-0.44-0.0639-616.616.8-0.2214.714.8-0.10
Ryan Humphrey99-0.100.60-0.690.08-618-2417.116.70.4413.414.9-1.45
Dahntay Jones910-0.100.60-0.700.05-517-2217.216.70.5611.815.1-3.31
Brian Cardinal3132-0.140.64-0.770.07-719-2616.816.70.1314.814.70.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.85,0.94,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 72, MEM 810.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.46,0.78,0.97,1,191.9%
NJN 92, IND 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.99,191.9%
POR 60, NJN 640.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.54,0.33,0.53,0.89,0.91,0.98,191.9%