NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	103		Excitement	5.9 [609]		MVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): +13.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	94		Comeback	1.0 [589]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -16.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	11	70%	0.15	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	11	54%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Boone	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	73%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Terrence Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	16	49%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.01	9	78%	0.14	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	14	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	18	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	20	36%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	31.7	14.8	25.4	2.6	34.2	135.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +52.7%

CHA -6.1%

NJN +12.2%

CHA -11.3%

NJN +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHA	NBA	NJN	CHA	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.3	107.3	97.9	106.0
season	15.9	16.2		98.7	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.0		101.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.1	14.0	15.2	17.0	15.3
CHA	14.2	16.6	14.8	13.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	58	59	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.15	16	-7	23	15.1	15.7	-0.58	14.7	14.6	0.12
Devin Harris	75	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-4	17	14.6	17.9	-3.29	14.6	15.0	-0.48
Courtney Lee	68	69	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.08	13	-4	17	15.1	15.9	-0.74	14.4	15.4	-0.98
Jarvis Hayes	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	-1	11	14.5	16.7	-2.27	14.1	15.6	-1.47
Yi Jianlian	56	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	-5	19	15.3	15.3	-0.03	14.5	14.8	-0.28
Josh Boone	32	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	10	-11	15.1	15.5	-0.36	16.0	14.0	2.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts	25	24	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	10	-11	18.8	14.1	4.74	14.7	14.6	0.11
Keyon Dooling	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	13	-17	16.2	14.9	1.23	15.7	14.2	1.48
Terrence Williams	32	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	15	-21	15.3	15.4	-0.08	14.8	14.6	0.17
Kris Humphries	43	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.24	-9	18	-27	16.0	14.8	1.25	14.3	15.0	-0.66

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Graham	32	33	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.24	9	-18	27	14.2	14.9	-0.72	16.9	14.5	2.45
Tyson Chandler	36	35	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.20	7	-16	23	14.6	14.7	-0.04	14.9	15.6	-0.75
Ronald Murray	36	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-12	15	15.2	14.4	0.80	14.8	15.6	-0.84
D.J. Augustin	25	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.11	2	-11	13	16.0	14.2	1.86	16.1	15.1	1.01
Derrick Brown	5	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-6	3	18.6	14.5	4.15	17.0	15.2	1.76
DeSagana Diop	9	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-8	7	14.4	14.7	-0.25	18.6	15.0	3.56
Nazr Mohammed	22	22	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	6	-21	15.7	14.4	1.32	14.5	15.6	-1.02
Boris Diaw	88	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-1	-7	14.2	20.1	-5.95	15.3	15.6	-0.26
Stephen Jackson	84	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	1	-11	14.8	14.0	0.76	15.0	17.4	-2.37
Raymond Felton	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	2	-13	14.2	16.0	-1.86	15.1	16.1	-1.01
Gerald Wallace	72	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.11	-18	9	-27	14.6	14.9	-0.33	15.2	15.7	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 111, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
SAS 97, VAN 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
DEN 105, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%