NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	6.7 [458]		MVP	Devin Harris (NJN): +23.3%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	1.4 [860]		LVP	Ben Gordon (DET): -11.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.23	0.14	0.10	0.01	12	72%	0.25	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Jarvis Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.07	0.01	7	79%	0.08	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Terrence Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brook Lopez	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.09	-0.00	12	69%	0.06	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.02
Kris Humphries	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	14	44%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Courtney Lee	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	12	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.04	0.02	9	105%	0.25	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.13	-0.03	8	76%	0.29	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.00	7	86%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	64%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	13	36%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	14	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	29.3	16.7	27.3	2.4	35.5	137.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +36.8%

DET +14.1%

DET +2.7%

NJN -1.1%

NJN -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	17.6	16.5	15.3	109.5	116.5	106.0
season	15.9	16.8		98.7	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.0		109.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	20.4	17.1	15.8	17.8	17.6
DET	18.6	17.2	14.9	15.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Williams	22	22	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-9	11	18.0	17.4	0.56	17.5	16.1	1.40
Yi Jianlian	44	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-6	5	16.5	18.8	-2.32	16.7	16.3	0.39
Chris Douglas-Roberts	14	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-2	-3	20.4	17.0	3.33	18.6	16.1	2.49
Keyon Dooling	37	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-6	5	18.3	17.0	1.28	17.0	16.1	0.86
Courtney Lee	56	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	16.9	19.0	-2.07	15.4	18.8	-3.38
Brook Lopez	79	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-5	3	17.1	24.6	-7.46	16.3	19.4	-3.07
Devin Harris	68	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	0	-7	17.9	16.3	1.57	17.1	13.8	3.29
Jarvis Hayes	55	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-3	-1	16.6	19.5	-2.95	15.7	18.1	-2.42
Kris Humphries	45	47	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.21	-11	4	-15	19.4	15.4	4.01	16.6	16.3	0.30

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	66	65	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-5	17	15.6	19.7	-4.16	17.1	19.1	-1.97
Tayshaun Prince	48	46	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-2	11	16.2	16.9	-0.64	17.7	17.5	0.20
Jason Maxiell	42	42	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	0	7	16.1	16.9	-0.81	18.5	16.7	1.79
Ben Wallace	57	55	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	2	3	16.1	17.2	-1.11	16.9	18.9	-2.01
Rodney Stuckey	72	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	1	5	16.9	14.5	2.32	17.9	16.1	1.78
Jonas Jerebko	43	42	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	0	7	16.5	16.5	0.01	17.6	17.6	0.02
Ben Gordon	37	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	9	-11	16.9	16.2	0.64	17.5	17.7	-0.20
Charlie Villanueva	28	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	12	-17	17.9	15.8	2.02	17.6	17.6	0.00
Will Bynum	32	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	11	-15	17.6	15.8	1.79	17.9	17.4	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 83, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.64,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.91,1	93.7%
CHI 92, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.83,1	93.7%
UTA 97, HOU 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.77,0.9,0.99,1	92.8%